The precipitous decline in US power is creating a power vacuum that is being filled by the the narrative of the major po... Read More
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Quantum Strategy
Enhancing your ability to understand and manage Macro-Turbulence.
Our focus is on two intersects of world affairs:
The first is when history is no guide to the future.
The second is when geo-politics determine economics.
We do this with products designed for the needs of clients whether you are managing assets and need to forecast markets; or a shipping company that needs to control geopolitical risk; or a government building a geopolitical or a defence policy. The scale of our client cooperation and its success determines the cost.
What Quantum Strategy does, and why it matters.
David Roche
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Your Latest Strategic Recommendations
Increasing US$ shorts into long EUR & JPY. Selling more US S&P Equities to raise cash & gold to max exposure.
13 May 2025
Maintain defensive stance
07 May 2025
Do not join in the. current rally of risk assets,
02 May 2025
Stay short US$, Treasuries & Stocks
30 Apr 2025
Stick to the conservative asset allocation in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio at the end of this note.
28 Apr 2025
stay underweight or short risk assets despite the current relief rally! Own safe haven assets like the Yen and Gold!.
26 Apr 2025
David Roche
I was born in Ireland which I left as soon as possible with ambitions to write. I studied at Trinity, INSEAD and did a CFA and C Dip Af on the side.
Before setting up Quantum Economics I was a strategist at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Independent Strategy.
My inspirations are tectonic plateshifts, like the Fall of the Wall; the Russian invasion of Ukraine; the death of liberal economics and globalisation. So my mind fires up when history is no guide but creative thinking is.
Where there is discontinuity there is value in strategic thinking. Where general preoccupation is the Fed’s next move there is not.
Jorge Luis Borges once said that most novels shouldn't have been written because they would have been better short stories. I write micro-books. Here are some of them, which you can find on the Books page:
- New Monetarism (2008)
- Sovereign Discredit (2010)
- Democrisis (2012)
- Death of Democracy (2018)
- Quantum Economics (2022)
- Living in the Grayzone (2024)
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