Peter Lewis Money Talk: The Warsh Appointment; The Metals Market Meltdown, and the Japanese el;ections. Read More
23:18:44 GMT
Quantum Strategy
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The second is when geo-politics determine economics.
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David Roche
Latest Media
Peter Lewis Money Talk: The Warsh Appointment; The Metals Market Meltdown, and the Japanese elections.
Your Latest Strategic Recommendations
Sell long oil (Brent) and put proceeds in SGD cash
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Remain short US$ & US Treasuries
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Do not chase any assets based on euphoria about Venezuela. QS stays short US$ VS SGD & AUD. QS remians short sovereign debt and long gold. Long oil and long defence stocks. Our equity focus remains Asian EMs with an emphasis on China
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Stay long China assets
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Use any peace deal announcemtn to build up defence equity exposure; increase gold, short Euro into SGD & AUD
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The (long) Wiiners from the 8 Global Disruptions:China (equities & the RMB); Asian assets (India and SE Asian equities) and Gold (demand driven by internationalisation of the RMB). There are safe haven commodities like energy and copper and strategic metals.
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David Roche
I was born in Ireland which I left as soon as possible with ambitions to write. I studied at Trinity, INSEAD and did a CFA and C Dip Af on the side.
Before setting up Quantum Economics I was a strategist at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Independent Strategy.
My inspirations are tectonic plateshifts, like the Fall of the Wall; the Russian invasion of Ukraine; the death of liberal economics and globalisation. So my mind fires up when history is no guide but creative thinking is.
Where there is discontinuity there is value in strategic thinking. Where general preoccupation is the Fed’s next move there is not.
Jorge Luis Borges once said that most novels shouldn't have been written because they would have been better short stories. I write micro-books. Here are some of them, which you can find on the Books page:
- New Monetarism (2008)
- Sovereign Discredit (2010)
- Democrisis (2012)
- Death of Democracy (2018)
- Quantum Economics (2022)
- Living in the Grayzone (2024)
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