Quantum Strategy

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Enhancing your ability to understand and manage Macro-Turbulence.

When history is no guide to the future.

When geo-politics determine economics.

We tailor our conversations to the needs of clients, whether you are managing assets and need to forecast markets; a shipping company that needs to control geopolitical risk; or a government building a geopolitical or defence policy.

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What Quantum Strategy does, and why it matters.

David Roche

Latest Media

David Roche Quoted in Peter Lewis’ Asian Business & Finance Briefing (21 October)

21 Oct 2026

Korea’s AI IPO stumbles, and David Roche asks what happens if the AI trade unwinds Elice Group, a South Korean AI servic…

David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk Tuesday October 0,2026

20 Oct 2026

On “Peter Lewis’ Money Talk” this Tuesday, David Roche, President & Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, joins Peter L…

Catch David Roche on ETNOW: Flags Structural Risks Behind the AI Boom: Inflation, Deficits & Market Fragility

14 Oct 2026

Catch David Roche today on ETNOW as he unpacks the hidden fault lines beneath the AI boom, from concentrated earnings le…

The Great Diesel Dump by the G7 will raise not reduce petroleum refined product prices. Stay long Diesel, Naphtha, Brent. 03 Oct 2026 Report
Investors should increase Safe Haven Allocation to 20%-30% of portfolios. We have seen impressive performance from safe haven assets amid global instability, particularly in energy, where Brent crude rose 46.4%. Safe havens include gold, copper, and long positions in agricultural commodities. We raised Safe Haven Allocation from 10%-20% to 20%-30% due to worsening conditions. We are also broadening agricultural commodities to include corn, sunflower oil, and soya. Currency positions remain strong, with the renminbi and Singapore dollar appreciating against the USD. 28 Sep 2026 Report
Cash & Safe Haven Assets should be increased from 10%-20% to 20% -30% of most portfolios. 10% -15 % of the portfolio has been added to long agricultural commodities - Addition of corn, sunflower oil and soya to current positions in wheat, coffee and cacao 27 Sep 2026 Report
Stay long Distillates - Diesel, Naphtha, Kerosene etc 24 Sep 2026 Report
Adding CHF as a dafe haven asset 08 Sep 2026 Report
Closing the long 2yr Sovereign Bund position and transferring it to Swiss and Singaporean (private and public sector bonds) 06 Sep 2026 Report

David Roche

I was born in Ireland which I left as soon as possible with ambitions to write. I studied at Trinity, INSEAD and did a CFA and C Dip Af on the side.

Before setting up Quantum Economics I was a strategist at JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Independent Strategy.

My inspirations are tectonic plateshifts, like the Fall of the Wall; the Russian invasion of Ukraine; the death of liberal economics and globalisation. So my mind fires up when history is no guide but creative thinking is.

Where there is discontinuity there is value in strategic thinking. Where general preoccupation is the Fed's next move there is not.

Jorge Luis Borges once said that most novels shouldn't have been written because they would have been better short stories. I write micro-books. Here are some of them, which you can find on the Books page:

  • New Monetarism (2008)
  • Sovereign Discredit (2010)
  • Democrisis (2012)
  • Death of Democracy (2018)
  • Quantum Economics (2022)
  • Living in the Grayzone (2024)
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