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Navigator: Iran’s New Nukes
Navigator: Iran’s New Nukes. Miracles can happen. The Iranian regime could fall. But more likely is further escalation. In the end Iran wins strategically even if it loses the war. That transforms the Gulf into Iran's new nuke. And Tehran will have no reason not to…
Navigator: ME – The Gordon’s Knot
Navigator: ME – The Gordon’s Knot. (THIS IS ROUGH AS I AM ON THE ROAD – SO NO EDITING!). I am staying out of oil as a hedge. I continue to add to gold. And I remain short US equites and long China – equites and the currency. In currencies, I’m a disbeliever in the …
ME The Gulf: After – Matters
ME The Gulf: After – Matters Investment Strategy. Brent oil spiked above $100. That was the limit set in “ME - What Matter Matters?” to sell the rest of the long Brent position. The 50% of the long oil position that remained was sold and the proceeds added to gold.…
ME – What Matters Matter?
ME – What Matters Matter? We are probably at the point of maximum Iranian war disruption. Long oil hedge is being cut 50% and will be sold completely if Brent goes above US$100/bbl. The reasons: · Massive naval power being refocused on Gulf shipping security. So…
Middle East Update
Middle East Update Investment Conclusion Conflict will be more prolonged. Oil disruption may be longer lasting and be more substantial than I previously thought. QS is putting back on long Brent positions and adding back 10% to Gold and other hard assets. NOT using …