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Time Past & Time Future
Time Past & Time Future. What this piece discusses: Why markets are where they are - across all categories? Six drivers are isolated. Can what got us here take us further? What would have to happen for that be our fate? What do consensus forecast expect for 2025?…
Ukraine: US 28 Point Plan backing Russian Demands is a Yalta moment for Europe
Ukraine: US 28 Point Plan backing Russian Demands: a Yalta moment for Europe. *Ukraine- US backs Russian demands.* Below is the full 28 point US plan drawn up without consultation with any allies. It is tantamount to a full capitulation of Ukraine and satisfacti…
RUSI : David Roche : The economic Sustainability of Russian Aggression.
In the latest RUSI Commentary, David Roche analyses Russia's capacity for low-cost grey-zone warfare against Europe as well as sustaining its war of attrition in Ukraine. The conclusion is,that the primary constraint is the rising cost of recruiting soldiers and demography, not…
Can Russia Sustain a 2nd Europe Front?
Can Russia Sustain a 2nd Europe Front? Introduction The report “Russia – This is not Roulette (Sept 9)” got lots of follow up questions. The trust of the ensuing discussion is about the economic sustainability of war for the Kremlin. This is what I write about below.…
Russia – This is not Roulette
Russia – This is not Roulette. Investment Conclusion; This is not Russian Roulette. Every chamber in the gun is loaded. It is pointing right at the heart of Europe. The new “sheriff in town” is walking to other way down the dusty track away from the European village.…