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Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy
Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy. Investment Conclusion The resilience of the Trump Administration’s economic policies is greater than I thought. There has been success in creating an alternative economic framework driven by the President…
NDTV The Big Question: David Roche - Are US-Indian Relations Back On Track?
This is a three way 30 min debate on where in the poltical spectrum US - India relations will settle. And it is certainly not where they began before Trump attacked. India.
US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption!
US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption! Investment Conclusion If the US Supreme Court backs the rulings of the two lower courts that the President’s use of the IEEPA to impose tariffs is mainly illegal, there will be a mess markets ca…
NDTV- Profit: More Tariffs On India if Putin ..." David Roche Decodes as Russia Backs India Against US Pressure.
This interview dispels a few myths about Russian oil and India. It examines whether Trump's tariffs can end the Indian investment story and stop FDI in its tracks. It describes how punitive sanctions on India for buying Russian oil are binary depending on where the Putin Trump…
RTHK: The Close - Business and Market Discussion with Carolyn Wright, David Roche and Richard Harris
How the tariffs are becoming tools of hate not weapons of the economy and the irrational patchwork that this creates. Hong Kong as a safe haven from what is to come?
EU-US Tariff Deal: Ursula Sings from the President’s Hymn sheet
EU-US Tariff Deal: Ursula Sings from the President’s Hymn sheet Investment Conclusion: Equity Markets will like the deal. It removes trade war uncertainty. But more for equities than any other asset class, the uncertainty about the hit to profits and discount factors…
Tariffs: How Good is Bad? The US-Japanese hadshake deal
Tariffs: How Good is Bad? The US-Japanese hadshake deal Investment Conclusion The equity markets are rejoicing at the latest US tariff deals. I am not. And neither are bond markets or the US $. The Japanese handshake 15% tariff deal is better than the mooted 25% tariffs. Bu…
Shifting Sands
Shifting Sands Investment Conclusion The result of the Japanese election heralds a period of weak government at a critical time. That undermines the safe haven status of the Yen. The Yen long position in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio is being sold. A short…
President Trump’s Putin Pivot
President Trump’s Putin Pivot Investment Conclusion Trump’s Pivot on Putin is probably due to a sense of personnel betrayal. This is likely to make it more durable than if it was based on a moral policy vision. The pivot has the potential to change the battlefield in …