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US Supreme Court Ruling Against IEEPA: The Emperor Has No Tariffs!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·21 Feb 2026

The US Supreme Court (SC) decision was in part anticipated by markets. So, it will not cause their collapse. Emerging markets, which get lower tariffs than IEEPA rate will have a rally on this result. India and China are examples. But business is not as usual. Uncerta…

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Tariffying Moment

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·09 Jan 2026

Tariffying Moment. The US Supreme Court is set to publish, on Friday, January 9, its opinions & and probably its verdict on the use of IEEPA tariffs. N egative for US Treasuries and the US$. No bonanza for EM equities, This report looks at the consequences …

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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·17 Nov 2025

Odd bins Investment Conclusion A renminbi based international payment and reserve system will take off within a year causing a leg down in the US$’s role as global reserve currency. Gold, not the RMB, will be the reserve asset of choice. Gold will go to US$6000 per t…

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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·04 Nov 2025

This Oddbins Some vital investment themes: Shipping - reinforced optimism. Trump "deal" with Xi changes nothing. And other shipping sector events reconfirm the need for massive shipbuilding and port investment in the US and for the US. US Supreme Court - almost all decisio…

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President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·31 Oct 2025

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam…

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Global Shipping: US Titan or Titanic?

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·22 Oct 2025

Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)…

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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·29 Sep 2025

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in …

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Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·25 Sep 2025

Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy. Investment Conclusion The resilience of the Trump Administration’s economic policies is greater than I thought. There has been success in creating an alternative economic framework driven by the President…

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US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·30 Aug 2025

US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption! Investment Conclusion If the US Supreme Court backs the rulings of the two lower courts that the President’s use of the IEEPA to impose tariffs is mainly illegal, there will be a mess markets ca…

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