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Oddbins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·05 Oct 2025

Oddbins. Investment Conclusion Japan - The Sanae Takaichi government, at the margin, means more fiscal spending. Therefore the Wealth Preservation Portfolio takes on: • More exposure to Japanese equities. • More shorts on JPG 10yrs. • And a careful watch for any change i…

#Cold War#China Plenum#Grayzone Warfare#US-China Cold War#US-China Relations#NATO#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#China Renminbi#EU Summit#Ukraine War#EU NATO#NATO Art 4 & Art 5#US backing for NATO#Russia’s Illegal War in Ukraine#China trade war escalatory dominance#APEC SUMMIT#Russian Intrusions Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·29 Sep 2025

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in …

#Container Shipping#PharmaTariffs#Russian Central Bank Assets Expropriation#Egonomics - the Trump Policy Model#Pharmaceuticals#US Tariffs#Grayzone Warfare Read More
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Divorce a l'Americain

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·18 Feb 2025

Divorce a l'Americain The Liberal World Order and NATO are dead ducks. That opens the way for the Trump 2 Administration to hit Europe with very high (remedial/reciprocal) tariffs in April. Trump has no need for Europeans to help him with Ukraine. The EM…

#NATO#Grayzone Warfare#Trump Policy#Putin#Xi#Trump#EU#Russia#Ukraine#Liberal World Order#Lavrov#Ushakov#President Xi#Europeans#President Putin#Ukraine War#Trump Administration Read More
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US Sanctions - Russian Oil Tanks

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·13 Jan 2025

Russia Sanctions & Oil. New US Sanctions are e nough to keep Brent between US$ 80-90 bbl and to heft shipping rates for legitimate tanker fleets. A Trump embargo on Iranian oil shipments could add to pricing pressure., Russia accounts for about 13% of global crude…

#Iran#EU#Trump#Energy#Trump Policy#Shadow Fleet#Grayzone Warfare#Russian Energy#Russian Energy Exports.#Undersea Cables Read More
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Astern!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jan 2025

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro …

#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#Escalation#Trump Policy#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Greyzone Warfare#US#EU#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#IDF#Putin#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East Read More
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Things I Believe - Without Proof

Archive Report ·David Roche ·25 Jan 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Middle East#Ukraine#Populism#Geopolitics#China#Trump#Taiwan#Grayzone Warfare#Strategy Archive#Europe#US Dollar#Democracy#Investments#European Central Bank#Rates#Policies#Confrontation Read More
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