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Iran – the Beginning of the End!

Quantum Strategy ·David Roche ·11 Jan 2026

Iran – the Beginning of the End! It may take time. But all roads lead to the same outcome. Some are smooth. Others are bloody. But the Iranian regime is doomed. Compared to Venezuela re-integrating Iran into the comity of civilised nations will be a cinch. Econo…

#Energy#Iran#Oil Prices#Energy Prices#Energy Markets#Energy Sector#The Cost of Trump's Spheres of Influence#Spheres of Influence.#Iran Regime Change#Oil Outlook#Energy Outlook Read More
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US Sanctions - Russian Oil Tanks

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·13 Jan 2025

Russia Sanctions & Oil. New US Sanctions are e nough to keep Brent between US$ 80-90 bbl and to heft shipping rates for legitimate tanker fleets. A Trump embargo on Iranian oil shipments could add to pricing pressure., Russia accounts for about 13% of global crude…

#Undersea Cables#Grayzone Warfare#Russian Energy#Russian Energy Exports.#Iran#Trump Policy#Shadow Fleet#Energy#EU#Trump Read More
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Astern!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jan 2025

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro …

#Central Banks#Trump#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#China#EU#US#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Trump Policy#Escalation#Moscow#Markets#IDF#Putin#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Iran#ECB#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable Read More
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Middle East – Syria - The End of the Bashar al-Assad regime.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Dec 2024

Investment Conclusion Winners: Israel & the US. Losers: Russia & Iran. Supportive of markets and the US$. The fall of Bashar al-Assad weakens Russia and Iran significantly. The winners are Turkey, Israel and the US. It is likely (60%) Syria will hang together as a u…

#Israel#Lebanon#Iran#IDF#Hezbollah#Gaza#Escalation#Bashar al-Assad#Hamas#Syria#Energy#Greyzone Warfare#Russia#Trump Read More
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Ukraine- Kursk Offensive

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·10 Aug 2024

Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant.

#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Greyzone Warfare#Security#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Water Read More
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Autumn Sonata

Quantum Strategy ·David Roche ·01 Aug 2024

Economics & Markets after Autumn makes the blooms fade & some icy winter fingers appear.

#Energy#Geo-economics#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#EU#Oil#China Plenum#China#Geopolitics#Central Banks#Monetary Policy Read More
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The End Of The Age Of Oil

Archive Report ·David Roche ·18 Dec 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Energy#Strategy Archive#Climate Change#COP28#Global Warming#Carbon Pricing#UN#Fossil Fuels#Renewable Energy#Taxation Read More
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Hamas And Israel - Market Perimeters

Archive Report ·David Roche ·08 Oct 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#War#USA#International Relations#Borders#Economy#Strategy Archive#Iran#Markets#Energy#Finance#Security#Ukraine#Russia#Politics Read More
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Russia's Matryoshka Energy Doll Set - The Truth Within The Truth

Archive Report ·David Roche ·09 Mar 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Oil#China#Politics#Russia#Energy#Strategy Archive#Saudi Arabia#India#LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas)#New World Disorder#Europe (EU) Read More
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Step On The Gas

Archive Report ·David Roche ·20 Jan 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Demand#Cash Flow#Valuation#Fossil Fuels#Strategy Archive#Leverage#Energy#Cold War#Geopolitics#China#Oil Read More
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