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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·19 Oct 2025

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF.

#China Plenum#France#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Ukraine War#China Communist Party#China Tariffs#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#China Trade War#Container Shipping#Ukraine. President Zelensky#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#France-Lecornu#Asset Bubbles Burst-Corrrection or Catastrophe?#CCP China Party Plenum#Trump - Putin Call#Shipping Read More
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On a Train in China

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·20 Apr 2025

On a Train in China Investment Conclusion The US confrontation with China will escalate further. China has escalatory dominance. And the confrontation is an opportunity for Beijing to pursue other goals left by the vacuum of US soft power withdrawal and the injury cause…

#China Renminbi#Reciprocal Tariffs#Trump Tariffs and Treaty Destruction#China Tariffs#Economy (China)#US-China#Trump's 100 Policy Blitz.China GDP#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#Remedial Tariffs#PBoC (People's Bank of China)#US-China Trade War#People's Bank of China (PBoC)#US-China Trade Relations#China Stimulus#Tariffs Read More
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Astern!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jan 2025

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro …

#Sanctions#Energy#China#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#US Labor Market#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#Escalation#Trump Policy#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare Read More
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Update: China CEWC & Korea in Limbo & France in a hell of its own making.

Update ·David Roche ·13 Dec 2024

Update China: CEWC: most of the statement is reiteration of previous stimulus packages. No new initiatives. No new money - in fact financing of the already announced interventions to stabilise the real estate market was omitted altogether.. Three shifts in langu…

#Korea#Xi#China Stimulus#China Read More
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