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Navigator

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·02 Feb 2026

This week's Navigator takes the plunge: What is causing the Precious Metal and Hard Asset Meltdown? How far will it go? Is the long term story still intact, When to buy again? Middle East will the whole thing turn TACO? Why not? Why every outcome of a war is not be…

#Iran#US Federal Reserve#Gold#Middle East Crisis#Iranian Confrontation#Shipping#Gold Reserves#Commodities (Gold)#Container Shipping#Middle East War#Middle East Conflict#Global Shipping INvestment Theme.#Iran Regime Change#Shipping Container Capacity#Precious Metals Melt Down-Why? Read More
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Navigator

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·01 Dec 2025

Navigator I am biting the bullet and cutting Japanese equity and yen positions. Keeping the short yen on. The reason is twofold: disastrous budget that will push 10yr Japanese JGB yields above Bund's at 2.7% ; and China putting Japan in the crosshairs to make an ex…

#Japan-The Sustainability of Sovereign Debt#Japan China Conflict#US - China - Taiwan-The trilogy of Betrayal?#France-Lecornu#Container Shipping#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#JGB (Japanese Government Bond)#Shipping#Japanese Yen#Taiwan#Japanese Equities Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·17 Nov 2025

Odd bins Investment Conclusion A renminbi based international payment and reserve system will take off within a year causing a leg down in the US$’s role as global reserve currency. Gold, not the RMB, will be the reserve asset of choice. Gold will go to US$6000 per t…

#Renminbi (RMB)#RMB (Renminbi) Currency#Shipping#RMB (Renminbi)#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#Container Shipping#US Supreme Court#Global Shipping INvestment Theme. Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·04 Nov 2025

This Oddbins Some vital investment themes: Shipping - reinforced optimism. Trump "deal" with Xi changes nothing. And other shipping sector events reconfirm the need for massive shipbuilding and port investment in the US and for the US. US Supreme Court - almost all decisio…

#US Supreme Court#Global Shipping INvestment Theme.#Container Shipping#US Tariffs#Boj what to expect#Nuclear Arsenal#Central Banks (US Federal Reserve)#BoJ#Nuclear deterrence#Nuclear Weapons#Change in Leadership#US Federal Reserve#NuclearThreats#Cold War Read More
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Oddbins

QS Team ·26 Oct 2025

Investment Conclusion There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. But long/overweight Japanese equities is being put on watch. Investors who cut Yen long positions in Yen may consider re-entering them. The BoJ has no excuse not to lean into Taka…

#China Plenum#France#Shipping#Ukraine War#China Renminbi#President of France#China Communist Party#Ukraine Truce#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#Ukraine. President Zelensky#China & Global South#Container Shipping#Japan Takaichi Polich Speech#Xi Trump Summit#France-Lecornu Read More
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Global Shipping: US Titan or Titanic?

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·22 Oct 2025

Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)…

#US & China Port Tariffs#Container Shipping#China Tariffs#US Tariffs#Shipping#Trump Tariffs.#Shipping Lanes#Tariffs Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·19 Oct 2025

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF.

#China Plenum#France#Trump Policy#China Stimulus#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Shipping#China Tariffs#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#China Trade War#China Communist Party#Ukraine War#Container Shipping#Trump - Putin Call#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#Ukraine. President Zelensky#Asset Bubbles Burst-Corrrection or Catastrophe?#CCP China Party Plenum#France-Lecornu Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·12 Oct 2025

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion No changes in the Wealth Protection Portfolio this week. It appears at the end of this report. Japan: Still sticking to Long Yen but expect things to get worse for Takaichi and the LDP. Takaichi being a lame duck from the o…

#Japan-Takaichii#Russian Assets#France-Lecornu#Container Shipping Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·29 Sep 2025

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in …

#Container Shipping#PharmaTariffs#Russian Central Bank Assets Expropriation#Egonomics - the Trump Policy Model#Pharmaceuticals#US Tariffs#Grayzone Warfare Read More
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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Sep 2025

Odd bins Investment Conclusion Two portfolio adjustments have been made: one anticipating the fall of the Bayrou government in France on Sept 8 and the other following the downfall of Prime Minister Ishiba in Japan. One is to add back short 10yrs JGB positions…

#US Federal Reserve#US Fed#Shipping Lanes#Shipping#Container Shipping#Wealth Preservation Portfolio Read More
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