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Astern!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jan 2025

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro …

#US#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#EU#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare#Markets Read More
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Troubles Weekend

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·05 Aug 2024

Recession is the new cloud in the blue sky over markets. The markets now know the colour of fear. Recession is not for now. But fear is. Here's why!

#Recession#Volatility#Kamala Harris#Monetary Policy#US Election#Trump#Politics#US Read More
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Globalisation And Populism

Archive Report ·David Roche ·19 Nov 2018

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#US#Trade#Volatility#Strategy Archive#Europe#Equities#Growth#Inflation#Bonds#Globallisation#P populism Read More
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EM Outta Here

Archive Report ·David Roche ·20 Jun 2013

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Middle-Income Trap#Interest Rates#Poland#Mexico#Federal Reserve#Asset Purchase Programme#Foreign Capital Inflows#High-Income Economies#Debt#Strategy Archive#Volatility#Central Banks Read More
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Monetary Policy Divorce

Archive Report ·David Roche ·08 Mar 2011

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Volatility#Monetary Policy#Central Banks#Strategy Archive#Economy#Equities#Yen#Federal Reserve#European Central Bank#Bank of Japan#US Dollar#Bonds (Government & Corporate) Read More
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QE2 - A Recipe For Volatility

Archive Report ·David Roche ·26 Oct 2010

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Inflation#United States#Financial markets#Federal Reserve#Economy#Strategy Archive#Monetary Policy#Volatility Read More
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Hitchhikers Guide To The Post Credit Crisis World

Archive Report ·David Roche ·28 Jun 2010

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Central Banks#Finance#Volatility#Markets#Strategy Archive#Government Policies#Credit Crisis#Economic Growth#Equity Returns#Deflation Read More
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Asset Allocation A Volatile Year

Archive Report ·David Roche ·10 Jan 2008

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Bonds#Economic Recession#Credit Crunch#Global Equities#Corporate Bonds#Equity Volatility#Credit Insurance#Metals#Industrial Metals#Equities#Strategy Archive#Volatility#Oil#Food Read More
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Asset Allocation Credit Crunch

Archive Report ·David Roche ·12 Oct 2007

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Food#Volatility#Equities#Dollar#Strategy Archive#Risk Appetite#Credit Markets#Bonds#Gold Read More
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New Monetarism The music stops update

Archive Report ·David Roche ·27 Jul 2007

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

#Liquidity#Corporate Bonds#Stocks#Derivatives#Investment Strategies#Economy#Strategy Archive#Equities#Debt#Volatility#Markets Read More
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