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Syria: Now for the Bad News

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·27 Dec 2024

Syria will not be a unitary state. Syria's fragmentation is driven by internal ethnic splits and by external players such as Turkey, Iran and Iraq. Syria is descending into internal conflict. But any power configuration is going to be anti-Iranian. Iran will be deprived of its …

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Middle East & Russia: Update

Update ·David Roche ·10 Dec 2024

Update Middle East and Russia: Shifting Sands and Snow Drifts. I have been getting the views of some friends involved in the Middle East and others serving in Ukraine. Both sets of views are a bit different to what markets believe. It changes the timing and risks of …

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Middle East – Syria - The End of the Bashar al-Assad regime.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Dec 2024

Investment Conclusion Winners: Israel & the US. Losers: Russia & Iran. Supportive of markets and the US$. The fall of Bashar al-Assad weakens Russia and Iran significantly. The winners are Turkey, Israel and the US. It is likely (60%) Syria will hang together as a u…

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The Heart And Mind Of Darkness

Archive Report ·David Roche ·14 Oct 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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