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Astern!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·08 Jan 2025

We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro …

#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty Read More
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When Macro Will Matter

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·22 Oct 2024

Macro uncertainty (high) and market volatility (low) have divorced. The piece explains why and when it will end. This will happen in the next twelve months. The catalyst will be conflicts that incur economic cost beyond what markets can ignore.

#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#Putin#Moscow#Markets#IDF#Iran#Lebanon#Middle East#Israel#Geopolitics#Kamala Harris#China#Trump#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Plateshifts#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Trade#Greyzone Warfare Read More
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