DeepSeek disrupts Tech creating as many winners (AI users) as losers (the overhyped US Magnificent 7 and Chatbot purveyors). It puts Chinese selected tech companies back on the radar for international investors. But most of all it hefts China’s strategic position in the Greyzone... Read More
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Deep Seek - Deeply Seeking the Significance .
DeepSeek Disruption: Tech, Economic, Geopolitical DeepSeek disruption to AI Chatbots/LLMs, like ChatGPT4 and to suppliers of AI semiconductors like Nvidia, is significant. It can also change forecasts for ever rising electricity demand from data centres. But by corol... Read More
The McKinley Factor
Investment Conclusion. Exceptionalism is not just about benefits but costs. The economic policies and geopolitical disruption of the second Trump Presidency are certainly exceptional but will incur more economic costs than benefits. These costs will be spread about the worl... Read More
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
Quantum Strategy - David Roche - The Mini Podcast on Macro Matters: The Data: China's NBS PMIs and Industrial Profits. DeepSeek - the deeper meaning of disruption. Trump the first week- the economic consequences of ripping up Alliances. The Fed - when will Trump ... Read More
Peter Lewis - Money Talk - Monday, January 27, 2025
Peter Lewis Money Talk - a great discussion of US policy, the break down of alliances and investment implications; Federal Reseve independence and the USD; and whether measures to shut China out of tech will result in China passing the US out. Read More
CNBC Squawk Box: President Trump's Inauguration Speech - Market Implications
The Inaugural Speech did not impose Tariffs in a slam dunk. This will give the US$ pause. Not for long as Tariffs are too central to Trump's economic ideas and prejudices not to be trotted out before long Read More
President Trump Inauguration Speech & the US$
President Trump inauguration speech. US$ may weaken for a while due to lack of immediate imposition of tariffs (in contrast with other policies like immigration) and statement that his administration would “ begin the overhaul” of trade with foreign countries. I don’t ex... Read More
The Mini Podcast About Macro Matters
David Roche- Quantum Strategy- The Micro Podcast about Macro Matters: * The extremes of the 100 Trump policies: the Plus: Mini nuclear power stations at the level of individual or groups of data centres. And the Minus: Tariffs as promised ultimately cause the Fed to revers... Read More