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Oddbins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·05 Oct 2025

Oddbins. Investment Conclusion Japan - The Sanae Takaichi government, at the margin, means more fiscal spending. Therefore the Wealth Preservation Portfolio takes on: • More exposure to Japanese equities. • More shorts on JPG 10yrs. • And a careful watch for any change i…

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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·29 Sep 2025

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in …

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Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·25 Sep 2025

Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy. Investment Conclusion The resilience of the Trump Administration’s economic policies is greater than I thought. There has been success in creating an alternative economic framework driven by the President…

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Odd bins

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·21 Sep 2025

Odd bins Investment Conclusion TICS: US continues to attract capital but the US$ exposure is being covered. Russian foreign exchange assets are about to be confiscated at last. Watch out for retaliation! The UK President Trump’s visit - the …

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What the Fed Said

Strategy Report ·QS Team ·18 Sep 2025

What the Fed Said Investment Conclusion More rate cuts to come; two this year and more next year. The Fed reaction function has shifted to labour markets and away from inflation. The Fed’s dot plots show that FOMC expectations are for a blip in short term …

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Can Russia Sustain a 2nd Europe Front?

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·16 Sep 2025

Can Russia Sustain a 2nd Europe Front? Introduction The report “Russia – This is not Roulette (Sept 9)” got lots of follow up questions. The trust of the ensuing discussion is about the economic sustainability of war for the Kremlin. This is what I write about below.…

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Odd bins

QS Team ·16 Sep 2025

Odd bins Investment Conclusion Asian equities added as European equities reduced. A warning on Fed Independence. Shipping data show weakness in the US economy.

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Podcast

RTHK The Close with Carolyn Wright & Richard Harris

QS Team ·15 Sep 2025

RTHK The Close with Carolyn Wright & Richard Harris: Tariffs update - key issues; Trump’s attempt to blackmail EU to hide his own failings and what’s critical about BoJ & Fed meetings this week.

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Russia – This is not Roulette

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·14 Sep 2025

Russia – This is not Roulette. Investment Conclusion; This is not Russian Roulette. Every chamber in the gun is loaded. It is pointing right at the heart of Europe. The new “sheriff in town” is walking to other way down the dusty track away from the European village.…

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