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President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War
President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam…
Oddbins
Investment Conclusion There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. But long/overweight Japanese equities is being put on watch. Investors who cut Yen long positions in Yen may consider re-entering them. The BoJ has no excuse not to lean into Taka…
Global Shipping: US Titan or Titanic?
Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)…
Odd bins
Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF.
Supreme Confusion
Supreme Confusion. Investment Conclusion Supreme Court decisions from now to January will set the scope of this Administration’s executive powers and determine the fate of the equity bull market. Some of the decisions to be made will have societal impacts that will no…
Korea: Asia Business Daily : David Roche & Seulkina Cho
State of Korean markets.
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Odd bins
Odd bins. Investment Conclusion No changes in the Wealth Protection Portfolio this week. It appears at the end of this report. Japan: Still sticking to Long Yen but expect things to get worse for Takaichi and the LDP. Takaichi being a lame duck from the o…
RUSI : David Roche : The economic Sustainability of Russian Aggression.
In the latest RUSI Commentary, David Roche analyses Russia's capacity for low-cost grey-zone warfare against Europe as well as sustaining its war of attrition in Ukraine. The conclusion is,that the primary constraint is the rising cost of recruiting soldiers and demography, not…
France - Chaos
The French Political Crisis- Resignation of PM Sebastian Lecornu. Macron is running out of rope. The latest chapter in the poltical crisis moves France closer to another legislative election at the very least. If that were to happen then a populist government led by the…