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Navigator – What the Revised Energy Deficit Does to GDP
Navigator – What the Revised Energy Deficit Does to GDP. (An earlier abbreviated text of this piece was sent to clients on the WhatsApp service at the weekend. Their savvy comments inspired revisions to the original now incorporated below.) New data and field work…
NDTV Geopolitics Centre Stage! When & Why does macro matter to markets
NDTV Geopolitics Centre Stage! When & Why does macro matter to markets. Applying the theoretical arguments about when Macro matters to Economies and to Markets to what is happening in the MIddle East.
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: The Middle East: Global Crisis or Short Term Interrruption
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: What would make the Iran crisis into a global economic crisis???? Parameters to watch!
CNBC- Access Middle East: Dan Murphy with David Roche: The Malevolent Influence of Russia in the Middle East
This interview goes forensic on the Russian influence in the Middle East. It covers the flow of Russian hot money and tycoons into some countries; the rivalry between Russian oil and that of OPEC; and what the Iranian-Russian Nexus means for stability in the region. We …
ME – No Taco but Attack
ME – No Taco but Attack Investment Conclusion. President Trump has not gone TACO on Iran. The US will attack Iran’s nuclear asserts (e.g. Fordow) if Iran does not totally surrender its nuclear assets in short shift. No more negotiations. No more ducking and weaving. No…
NDTV What will Make the Middle East matter to markets ?
NDTV -Middle East War: what will make the war matter to markets ?
RTHK - The Close with Carolyn Wright & Richard Harris - the Middle East Conflict
RTHK - The Close with Carolyn Wright & Richard Harris - the Middle East Conflict The pause before the storm or a durable return to normal?
Middle East: Good Cop, Bad Cop & The Bactrian Camel
Middle East: Good Cop, Bad Cop & The Bactrian Camel Investment Conclusion The Israeli attack on Iran was coordinated with the US. The strategy is intended to force Iran to denuclearise on President Trump’s terms. Thus escalation will be limited for now as Ira…
Middle East – Iran – Update – Nukes
Iran's rising stockpile of weapons' grade uranium is proof Tehran is looking to nuclear weapons to replace its shattered proxies, Israel will not tolerate this. The timing of war and its scope is still towards end of this year or early 2026. But this is a guess, A lot depend…
RTHK THe Close on Radio 3 with Carolyn Wright
RTHK The Close with Caroln Wright: - What’s the thimking behind the tariffs? - Chibna’s deep reaction - not mild but threatening. - How Netanyahu played Trump to reinforce his ghold on office. What does this mean for Gaza. Will a renewal of hotsilites involve Iran and oil an…