Harris did better in the debate. But the election is too close to call. Here are the consequences of a Trump or Harris victory Read More
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The Draghi Report- Upon Deaf Ears
The Draghi Report - All the right ideas. But unlikely to be implemented. The reasons: populism and the fear of it. Or in the case of Germany, incompetent governance. No market impact Read More
RTHK: The Close- Tech Grayzone Warfare, China Deflation & the US Presidential Election
RTHK - The Close- Tech Grayzone Warfare, China Deflation & the US Presidential Election Read More
The Significance of the Inconsequential
There are three political things that don’t matter to markets now but will. Read More
Squawk Box Europe - Debating the Fed - excess focus on unemployment and self exoneration for post-covid ”transitory” inflation?
Is the Fed over-focussed on unemployment rather than inflation? And is its self-exoneration from causing post-covid inflation credible? Read More
The Middle East- is this the start of the wider war?
Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely. Read More
US Fed- Jackson Hole- Chairman Powell Speech
US Fed- Chair Powell speech: cuts? Yes but how much & how far" less than you think? Read More
Money Talks
Can Kamala Harris plug the vicissitudes of her economic policy pronouncements? Read More
The BoJ, The Yen and Global Liquidity
Yen Strength - will Japan suck global liquidity dry? Read More
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More