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10 Sep 25

NDTV The Big Question: David Roche - Are US-Indian Relations Back On Track?

This is a three way 30 min debate on where in the poltical spectrum US - India relations will settle. And it is certainly not where they began before Trump attacked. India. Read More

30 Aug 25

US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption!

US Tariffs: Judicial Disruption of Economic Disruption = > Disruption! Investment Conclusion If the US Supreme Court backs the rulings of the two lower courts that the President’s use of the IEEPA to impose tariffs is mainly illegal, there will be a mess markets ca... Read More

20 Aug 25

NDTV- Profit: More Tariffs On India if Putin ..." David Roche Decodes as Russia Backs India Against US Pressure.

This interview dispels a few myths about Russian oil and India. It examines whether Trump's tariffs can end the Indian investment story and stop FDI in its tracks. It describes how punitive sanctions on India for buying Russian oil are binary depending on where the Putin Trump... Read More

27 Jul 25

EU-US Tariff Deal: Ursula Sings from the President’s Hymn sheet

EU-US Tariff Deal: Ursula Sings from the President’s Hymn sheet Investment Conclusion: Equity Markets will like the deal. It removes trade war uncertainty. But more for equities than any other asset class, the uncertainty about the hit to profits and discount factors... Read More

24 Jul 25

Tariffs: How Good is Bad? The US-Japanese hadshake deal

Tariffs: How Good is Bad? The US-Japanese hadshake deal Investment Conclusion The equity markets are rejoicing at the latest US tariff deals. I am not. And neither are bond markets or the US $. The Japanese handshake 15% tariff deal is better than the mooted 25% tariffs. Bu... Read More

21 Jul 25

Shifting Sands

Shifting Sands Investment Conclusion The result of the Japanese election heralds a period of weak government at a critical time. That undermines the safe haven status of the Yen. The Yen long position in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio is being sold. A short... Read More

15 Jul 25

President Trump’s Putin Pivot

President Trump’s Putin Pivot Investment Conclusion Trump’s Pivot on Putin is probably due to a sense of personnel betrayal. This is likely to make it more durable than if it was based on a moral policy vision. The pivot has the potential to change the battlefield in ... Read More

14 Jul 25

RTHK: The Close Business and Market Discussion - Jeff Cheung, David Roche & Richard Harris.- Is August 1st for TACO or for real?

Is the August 1st deadline set by Trump more bragadachio or for real? this podcast provides the answer. It's for real. And it goes into the reasons why. Read More

13 Jul 25

Trade Update

Trade Update Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025 Investment Conclusion The range and level of tariff threats made by the US this week is not something President Trump can go TACO on. Indeed the accusation that he is TACO on Tariffs probably is a factor behind the current... Read More

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