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28 Nov 25

The New Cold War – How China Wins It! (The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide)

The New Cold War – How China Wins It! ( The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide) China may not always have intended to replace the US at the top of the global pecking order: geopolitically, militarily and economically. But it does now. This piece looks ... Read More

09 Nov 25

Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy

Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy The world is a split stage. The comedy of trade is playing on the right. On the left the New Cold War has begun between the Alliance of Autocracies and the fading ranks of the liberal, and not so liberal, demo... Read More

31 Oct 25

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam... Read More

05 Oct 25

Oddbins

Oddbins. Investment Conclusion Japan - The Sanae Takaichi government, at the margin, means more fiscal spending. Therefore the Wealth Preservation Portfolio takes on: • More exposure to Japanese equities. • More shorts on JPG 10yrs. • And a careful watch for any change i... Read More

05 May 25

China: No Pushover!

China: No Pushover! Investment Conclusion I would not be in any hurry to participate in the current market rally in equities, bonds or the US$. The US equity market today tells us the world is only 9% worse off than when President Trump took office and as... Read More

14 Feb 25

Anatomy of Exceptionalism

US Exceptionalism is the investor conviction that “things can’t go wrong in the US of America” for you or your money. Like Frankenstein, “Exceptionalism” is half man, and half beast, half economic reality and half perception - laced with large dollops of hope. The markets ca... Read More

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