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Navigator: ME – The Gordon’s Knot
Navigator: ME – The Gordon’s Knot. (THIS IS ROUGH AS I AM ON THE ROAD – SO NO EDITING!). I am staying out of oil as a hedge. I continue to add to gold. And I remain short US equites and long China – equites and the currency. In currencies, I’m a disbeliever in the …
Peter Lewis Money Talk with David Roche, and Andrew Sullivan
Peter Lewis Money Talk with David Roche, and Andrew Sullivan A debate that probes the motivation & implications of the Gulf policies of each protagonist - US, IRAN, ISRAEL, GULF STATES.
CNBC Access Middle East - Why there is not, and will not be, an oil crisis.. But the outcome of the War is still BAD!
CNBC Asia: Access Middle East with Dan Murphy. Why there is not, and will not be, an oil crisis. Bringing together stocks, output and the military logistics of the securitising the Gulf. This is not to say that the outcome of war will be devoid of long-lasting negative …
NDTV: The Aftermath: Where does the Iranian War leave Economic Policy? What are the options and risks?
NDTV: The Aftermath: Where does the Iranian War leave Economic Policy? What are the options and risks?
ME The Gulf: After – Matters
ME The Gulf: After – Matters Investment Strategy. Brent oil spiked above $100. That was the limit set in “ME - What Matter Matters?” to sell the rest of the long Brent position. The 50% of the long oil position that remained was sold and the proceeds added to gold.…
NDTV - The Surprises of War.
NDTV - The Surprises of War. The geopolitical, economic and financial market consequences of this badly planned, long war in pursuit un-defined goals.
ME – What Matters Matter?
ME – What Matters Matter? We are probably at the point of maximum Iranian war disruption. Long oil hedge is being cut 50% and will be sold completely if Brent goes above US$100/bbl. The reasons: · Massive naval power being refocused on Gulf shipping security. So…
EU Gulf (or US?) Vulnerability
EU Gulf (or US?) Vulnerability The blow out in EU TTF Natural Gas Futures is a short term market squeeze. Stay away from it. EU gas markets are fairly soundly balanced, Vulnerability to Middle East disruption is very low. The biggest risks are still high dependence on Rus…
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: The Middle East: Global Crisis or Short Term Interrruption
Peter Lewis Money Talk - with Richard Harris & David Roche: What would make the Iran crisis into a global economic crisis???? Parameters to watch!
NDTV War in the West: The Implications of Iran’s Offensive Strategy
NDTV WAR IN THE WEST;: Iran’s strategy aims are regime survival and maximising damage to global energy supply and Gulf State and Western economies. Can it deliver? We assess Tehran’s military arsenal and economic weapons such as de facto closure of the Straits of Hormuz. I…