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Investment Conclusion For 15 years macro events mattered less to economies and to you. The forecasting of macro events got better. But the outcomes were less telling economically & financially. There is now evidence this is reversing. Here’s why! Some very potent events with big …
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk today September 7th 2026
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' Money Talk today: David Roche, Peter Lewis and Alex Wong make a great team in debating the rise in sovereign bond yields, are the key drivers inflation, sovereign debt sustainability, or competing bond supply from AI? They then explore the conseq…
Welcome Back! Here's What Moved While You Were Away.
Welcome back from the summer break. In our view, what moved in your absence isn't seven unrelated headlines but one connected regime shift, spanning AI, energy and food, central bank independence, the dollar, and geopolitics and we've pulled it all together in the attached client…
See David Roche on NDTV Profit: Oil Supply Crisis, AI Bubble Risk, and His Case for China and India
David Roche warns that a 16 to 18 million barrel per day global oil deficit, driven by falling Russian exports and surging Chinese demand, is colliding with an AI investment boom built on circular, highly leveraged financing. He sees no economic slowdown on the horizon to ease oi…
David Roche on EO TV (Yen, Gulf, Shipping, Inflation)
David Roche joined EO TV to tackle the questions everyone's asking: → Yen carry trade: what makes currency intervention work, and what makes it fail? → Oil markets are tightening. What's driving it, and why does it set the hurdle rate for any Gulf deal? Watch the full conversatio…
Catch David Roche on Peter Lewis' MONEY TALK - Friday August 7, 2026
MONEY TALK! Peter Lewis, Francis Lun and David Roche get down to the gritty about: US Vs China AI and why China is place to invest; why the Straits of Hormuz deal won’t restore normalcy to energy markets; and what are the implications of the weaponisation of foreign exchange by t…
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Why Hasn't the Oil Price Gone Stratospheric? (Client Q&A)
Gulf paralysis has removed an estimated 20mn bpd of crude from global markets — around 12% of world consumption once diverted pipeline flows and shadow-tanker volumes through Hormuz are netted out. This note walks through David Roche's supply-deficit arithmetic, identifies Chin…
The X-Disruptions: A Mid-2026 Scorecard
We called eight "X-Disruptions" back in December 2025, so six months on, we graded our own homework. The verdict: Fed independence, BoJ/Yen stress, and Europe's defense build-out landed with striking precision, while our bearish equity call missed, but only on US/US-AI names, e…
Gold: The Central Banks Aren't Stopping
Central banks bought 41 tonnes of gold in May. Everyone but Russia and Turkey is buying. David Roche explains why sustained official-sector demand and China's steady move away from the dollar reinforce the case for gold support at US$4,000/oz.
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: US-Iran Peace Talks; Strait of Hormuz & Oil Markets; Federal Reserve Hawkish Pivot; UK Political Transition; China & BoJ Monetary Policy
Peter Lewis - Money Talk: On Tuesday’s Peter Lewis’ Money Talk podcast, Peter is joined by Mark Michelson, Chairman of the Asia CEO Forum at IMA Asia, David Roche, President & Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and in Washington D.C., US Economics Correspondent, writer & br…