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The Mini Podcast on Macro that Matters
The US Election swinging towards Trump? Market outcomes for Trump and Harris victory. Israel strikes back - how matters. China stimulus why the consumer is unlikely to join the party. Moldova - the poser of Russian disinformation.
RTHK The Close
RTHK - The Close: China fiscal stimulus- good money after bad?. The US Presidential Election - political & market outcome. . The Middle East - which war now?
The Mini Podcast on Macro
The Mini Podcast on Macro that may matter to markets - US Presidential, China Stimulus, Israel & Iranian assets - the "Big If".
Middle East: The Inevitable War That'll Matter to Markets
A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero,
Money Talk with Peter Lewis: China Policy - assessing the equity market blow off and how sustainable it is
A great discussion of China's market ramp and its sustainability with Peter Lewis and Enzio Pfeil- everything from culture to Hayek
Russia - The Rubbish Budget
The Russian budget points the way to the increasing un-sustainability of the war for Moscow beginning 2025. The war does not matter to markets now. But it would if it ended. The peace dividend would be high.
The Significance of the Inconsequential
There are three political things that don’t matter to markets now but will.
The Middle East- is this the start of the wider war?
Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely.
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant.
Autumn Sonata
Economics & Markets after Autumn makes the blooms fade & some icy winter fingers appear.