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Navigator.
Navigator. Why President Trump's Greenland Tariffs are binary. They can either set off a new EU-US trade war and call NATO into question, Or result in Greenland being the last political tariffs to be used by Trump and removed from his arsenal by the US Supreme Court. …
Tariffs: President Trump’s Greenland Can of Worms.
Tariffs: President Trump’s Greenland Can of Worms. Investment Conclusion President Trump has opened a can of tariff worms about Greenland. There are a lot of moving parts here, some of them very disruptive. But here are the key issues: The Current EU – US Tr…
Japan- Takaichi’s High Stakes Gamble
Japan- Takaichi’s High Stakes Gamble Investment Strategy. Ms Takaichi informed the leadership of the LDP and Ishin no Kai on Jan 14 that she will dissolve parliament on January 23. The election will then take place in early February – 8 or 9 th . The outcome…
Navigator.
Navigator. Investment Conclusion Maverick policies by the US will increasingly strain market optimism. The Wealth Preservation Portfolio (at the back) is 50% invested in safe haven assets. It is negative on US$, US long term Treasuries and US equites. It is ne…
Iran – the Beginning of the End!
Iran – the Beginning of the End! It may take time. But all roads lead to the same outcome. Some are smooth. Others are bloody. But the Iranian regime is doomed. Compared to Venezuela re-integrating Iran into the comity of civilised nations will be a cinch. Econo…
Tariffying Moment
Tariffying Moment. The US Supreme Court is set to publish, on Friday, January 9, its opinions & and probably its verdict on the use of IEEPA tariffs. N egative for US Treasuries and the US$. No bonanza for EM equities, This report looks at the consequences …
Venezuela: Now Comes the Hard Part!
Venezuela: Now Comes the Hard Part! This analysis focuses on the reasons why there is no bonanza in waiting for the US in terms of Venezuelan oil capture. In brief: It's the wrong sort of oil and there is little global demand for it. Costs of getting it out of the gr…
The Connectors -A Random Walk Through Venezuelan Consequences
The Connectors -A Random Walk Through Venezuelan Consequences The consequences of the fall of Maduro entail: 1. US focus on spheres of influence and global energy and strategic mineral dominance. 2. Geopoltical contagion to states like Cuba & Iran. 3. Mispl…
Whiispers from Implausibility
Whispers from Implausibility. If you believe in an effective peace deal, then forget oil! The real plate-shift will be China and the EU. If peace breaks out Russia can offer China little – economically speaking. The US won’t. And the EU must. Europe an…
Gratitude
Thank you & Happy Christmas. It means so much to work with you. David and the whole Quantum Strategy Team wish you happiness and health. D