Quantum Strategy - David Roche: The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters. The 5 things that could go wrong or right next year. The data for this week Read More

The BoJ chose to do nothing, On the one hand it is afraid to raise rates and then being surprised in a few months when tariffs create deflationary pressure so it has to reduce rates again. On the other hand, if it doesn't raise rates the yen weakens and imported inflation may s... Read More

China_ The Renminbi will fall to 8.50 to the US$ in a year as excess domestic liquidity from failed stimulus heads for the door and devaluation is used to limit damage from tariffs. Read More

CNBC Market Alert;: US Tariffs:: Why Exceptionalism will Fail. Read More

Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: What's happened but matters still: China data; Germany - what the Bundesbank believes; Korea - the constitutional crisis; & France - why a decent PM makes no difference - no reform before the populists take over. And to ... Read More

Quantum Strategy David Roche - The Mini Podcast of Macro That Matters to Markets! China's deflation continues- why it matters? Syria- the two scenarios and how critical they are. ECB - what to expect. US Inflation - service price figures critical Read More

David Roche: Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast for Macro that matters to Markets: Moving on from Trump cabinet appointments to policy the Trump Administration will pursue. I focus on two areas Tariffs and Ukraine - i look at likely policy choices and implications. Th... Read More

The Mini Podcast on Macro - that may matter to markets China - false dawn in retail & housing?. What Xi said to Biden to say to Trump: China's 4 Red Lines (actually 3) with one a tautological obsession which tells us what Xi is prioritising. What the official anonymous China... Read More

Quantum Strategy: The Mini-Podcast on Macro on a Monday: This weeks Macro Events: the US Election - what it means for markets - contrary to expectations a Trump victory would be bad for markets; The Fed - a 25 bp cut; China the National Peoples' Congress Standing Committee will ... Read More

Japanese elections mean weak coalition government. Markets will see Yen weaken - Boj stops normalising policy. Weak yen and likelihood of fiscal packages (to buy votes) means stringer equities. JGB tields will rise reflecting bigger deficits. Read More