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Tag: Asia
13 Jan 25

The Mini-Podcast on Macro

David Roche- Quantum Strategy- The Mini Podcast on Macro Matters: US jobs blow out- what it tells us about the Fed going forward. China exports - tell us shipping ahead of Tariffs will create a growth vacuum later. US sanctions on Russian energy - why and how th... Read More

30 Dec 24

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters.

Quantum Strategy - David Roche - The Micro Podcast on Macro! Sign on for Free Research Trial: https://www.QuantumStrategy.org Coming up his week: - The pulling forward of demand in China that will create gaps in demand later: Exports, Consumer Durables, Autos and... Read More

19 Dec 24

CNBC Street Signs - Tanvir & I decode what the BoJ thinking is behind decision to stay on hold.

The BoJ chose to do nothing, On the one hand it is afraid to raise rates and then being surprised in a few months when tariffs create deflationary pressure so it has to reduce rates again. On the other hand, if it doesn't raise rates the yen weakens and imported inflation may s... Read More

19 Dec 24

CNBC Street Signs- the Renminbi to fall to 8.50 to the USD!!!! Shock & Awe

China_ The Renminbi will fall to 8.50 to the US$ in a year as excess domestic liquidity from failed stimulus heads for the door and devaluation is used to limit damage from tariffs. Read More

16 Dec 24

The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters

Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: What's happened but matters still: China data; Germany - what the Bundesbank believes; Korea - the constitutional crisis; & France - why a decent PM makes no difference - no reform before the populists take over. And to ... Read More

29 Oct 24

CNBC Squawk Box: Japanese Election Result- Meaning for Markets

Ishiba PM dead man walking

Japanese elections mean weak coalition government. Markets will see Yen weaken - Boj stops normalising policy. Weak yen and likelihood of fiscal packages (to buy votes) means stringer equities. JGB tields will rise reflecting bigger deficits. Read More

21 Oct 24

RTHK - The Close

The US Presidential - swing to Trump in polls. Meaning of Trump or Harris victory for markets. China stimulus- will the consumer follow orders and shop? Moldova - the corrosive power of Moscow disinformation and corruption. Middle East- Israeli riposte - the delay means more - ... Read More

18 Oct 24

CNBC with David Roche live at the Beijing Housing Ministry's Presser

Beijing pushing  hard but in wrong direction

Live with CNBC from the Housing Ministry's presser commenting on the latest measure to solve the housing problem. Won't work. Does not address housing demand. Read More

23 Sep 24

RTHK The Close: a discussion of Central Banks, China Stimulus and the Global Economy

The Fed too much too early and China the Great Leap Backwards?? Read More

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