A short history of 2025 - starting with how the reign of Trump could go wrong or right and then applying the same doomster methodology to reading the cards for Xi and Putin.......finishing with a modest forecast for the little old UK. Read More
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CNBC: Europe: Steve & I on whether the only word we need to learn to pronounce next year is "Trump" to which we added Xi, Putin ...
CNBC Street Signs - Tanvir & I decode what the BoJ thinking is behind decision to stay on hold.
The BoJ chose to do nothing, On the one hand it is afraid to raise rates and then being surprised in a few months when tariffs create deflationary pressure so it has to reduce rates again. On the other hand, if it doesn't raise rates the yen weakens and imported inflation may s... Read More
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: What's happened but matters still: China data; Germany - what the Bundesbank believes; Korea - the constitutional crisis; & France - why a decent PM makes no difference - no reform before the populists take over. And to ... Read More
CNBC Squawk Box: Japanese Election Result- Meaning for Markets
Japanese elections mean weak coalition government. Markets will see Yen weaken - Boj stops normalising policy. Weak yen and likelihood of fiscal packages (to buy votes) means stringer equities. JGB tields will rise reflecting bigger deficits. Read More
RTHK - The Close
RTHK Discussing: likely outcome of China's NPC Standing Committee on Nov 4 to 8; the results of the Japanese election what does instability do for assets; and the inevitable discussion of the US election,. Read More
Money Talk with Peter Lewis: China Policy - assessing the equity market blow off and how sustainable it is
A great discussion of China's market ramp and its sustainability with Peter Lewis and Enzio Pfeil- everything from culture to Hayek Read More
The Micro Podcast on Monday Macro
Harris more likely to win. Middle East why further Israeli escalation will not provoke Iranian reaction? What do Ishiba victory & coming elections mean for Asia? Ukraine whither now that Zelensky's visit to the US and the Peace plan has failed? China: why the big baz... Read More