Bursting Bubbles – Correction or Catastrophe? Investment Conclusion This paper asks questions about bubbles and sets up a framework to answer them. The questions: are there significant bubbles around? If so, what would make them burst? And if they burst will the result be ... Read More

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam... Read More

Xi Vs Trump. What was really gained is very small. A marginal reduction in US (fentanyl) Tariffs with US tariffs on all Chinese imports falling from 55% to 45% - both trade prohibitive levels. Freer access to US technology for China. A one year halt to China’s sanctions on R... Read More

Engelsberg Ideas A fatal combination of AI exuberance, reckless private credit, and skyrocketing levels of sovereign debt is generating economic bubbles. When they burst, the ensuing global crisis may well transform the geopolitical landscape. Read More

Peter Lewis Money Talk- David Roche, Mark Nicholson and Barry Wood on Trump’s Asian Tour. - distinguishing fact from flam. Read More

Investment Conclusion There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. But long/overweight Japanese equities is being put on watch. Investors who cut Yen long positions in Yen may consider re-entering them. The BoJ has no excuse not to lean into Taka... Read More

Shared insights on the implications of the Trump-Putin tensions as they relate to India's purchase of Russian oil. This discussion sheds light on a significant geopolitical issue that could result in lower US tariffs on India. . But it also emphasises Indian assets’ vulnerability... Read More

Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)... Read More

Consequences. The.book that brings it all together- simple in prose, deep in vision and thorough analytics. Why the rise of totalitarisnism, the weakness of democracy and the demise of the Liberal World Order are fueled by populism. Read More

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF. Read More