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Audio recording: Fed Powell opens door to potential rate cuts at Jackson Hole.
Jackson Hole - Chair Powell's Speech: This means further monetary policy easing and Fed rate cuts. Here is Chair Powell's logic: Labour Marke t There exists a curious balance: supply and demand for labor are both contracting. This creates a "curious" …
RTHK - The Close
RTHK - The Close. A look forward at the coming year. What are the key factors that could drive markets up or down.
CNBC: Europe: Steve & I on whether the only word we need to learn to pronounce next year is "Trump" to which we added Xi, Putin ...
A short history of 2025 - starting with how the reign of Trump could go wrong or right and then applying the same doomster methodology to reading the cards for Xi and Putin.......finishing with a modest forecast for the little old UK.
US Fed - less cuts to come - “wannabe” but “won’t be” macro forecasts - and fudging the equilibrium rates question.
US Fed. Cut as expected = 25bp. One dissent - Beth M. Hammack. Less cuts to come. Positive for US$ Vs EURO & Yen. “Wannabe” but “won’t be” macro forecasts - and fudging the equilibrium rates question. But this piece explains why US equilibrium Fed Fund Rates is 4%. US…
US Fed - less cuts to come - “wannabe” but “won’t be” macro forecasts - and fudging the equilibrium rates
US Fed. Cut as expected = 25bp. One dissent - Beth M. Hammack. Positive for US$ Vs EURO & Yen. Forecast for policy rates in 2025 up quite sharply from Sept forecast to 3.9% from 3.4% . That would indicate fewer cuts . The FOMC expects policy rate cuts to continue into…
Money Talk US Election, China Stimulus and the US Fed
Money talk with Peter Lewis, Mark Nicholson and Barry Wood on the US Election, China NPC Standing Committee & the US Fed
Fed satisfies the market but not the mind
The US Fed's "Jumbo" 50bp cut in fed fund rates to 4.5% to 5% was not what the well balanced economy needed. It is a step into monetarist populism by the central bank. It unwarrantedly biases Fed policy towards unemployment. . It gives the wrong signal as to where the equilibrium…
Squawk Box Europe - Debating the Fed - excess focus on unemployment and self exoneration for post-covid ”transitory” inflation?
Is the Fed over-focussed on unemployment rather than inflation? And is its self-exoneration from causing post-covid inflation credible?
US Fed- Jackson Hole- Chairman Powell Speech
US Fed- Chair Powell speech: cuts? Yes but how much & how far" less than you think?