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05 Nov 24

Money Talk US Election, China Stimulus and the US Fed

Money talk with Peter Lewis, Mark Nicholson and Barry Wood on the US Election, China NPC Standing Committee & the US Fed Read More

04 Nov 24

The Mini Podcast on Macro on a Monday

Quantum Strategy: The Mini-Podcast on Macro on a Monday: This weeks Macro Events: the US Election - what it means for markets - contrary to expectations a Trump victory would be bad for markets; The Fed - a 25 bp cut; China the National Peoples' Congress Standing Committee will ... Read More

01 Nov 24

Central Bank Forecast post US Non-Farm Payrolls

US Non-Farm Payrolls : The Non-Farm Payrolls report shows that only 12,000 positions were added in October (much lower than the exp. 100k, average compiled by Dow Jones) US Unemployment rate is unchanged at 4.1%, in line with expectations. The Bureau of Labor Statistic... Read More

29 Oct 24

CNBC Squawk Box: Japanese Election Result- Meaning for Markets

Ishiba PM dead man walking

Japanese elections mean weak coalition government. Markets will see Yen weaken - Boj stops normalising policy. Weak yen and likelihood of fiscal packages (to buy votes) means stringer equities. JGB tields will rise reflecting bigger deficits. Read More

28 Oct 24

RTHK - The Close

RTHK Discussing: likely outcome of China's NPC Standing Committee on Nov 4 to 8; the results of the Japanese election what does instability do for assets; and the inevitable discussion of the US election,. Read More

27 Oct 24

Japan- Turbulence in a Tea Cup

Japanese elections see LDP decimated. There will be a period of uncertainty and volatility for Japanese assets as a messy, weak, coalition is put together at the end of a protracted messier period of haggling. Such volatility is a storm in teacup in the global scale of things. ... Read More

26 Oct 24

Middle East: Limited Israeli Retaliation

Limited Israeli retaliation Against Iran will relieve markets. But it does not change outlook for a wider war to be waged by Israel to achieve regime chnage in Tehran targeting Iran's oil assets and nukes within 12 months. The current attack will not break the mould of market i... Read More

22 Oct 24

When Macro Will Matter

Macro uncertainty (high) and market volatility (low) have divorced. The piece explains why and when it will end. This will happen in the next twelve months. The catalyst will be conflicts that incur economic cost beyond what markets can ignore. Read More

21 Oct 24

RTHK - The Close

The US Presidential - swing to Trump in polls. Meaning of Trump or Harris victory for markets. China stimulus- will the consumer follow orders and shop? Moldova - the corrosive power of Moscow disinformation and corruption. Middle East- Israeli riposte - the delay means more - ... Read More

21 Oct 24

The Mini Podcast on Macro that Matters

The US Election swinging towards Trump? Market outcomes for Trump and Harris victory. Israel strikes back - how matters. China stimulus why the consumer is unlikely to join the party. Moldova - the poser of Russian disinformation. Read More

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