The Weaponisation of Economics (Part 2: Economic Weapons of Mass Destruction) Investment Conclusion The weaponisation of the global economy has a life cycle of its own. Economic Weaponisation is growing in lethality and sophistication. Weaponisation is shaping t... Read More
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Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) - David Roche - US Trade and Trump’s Tariffs – Disruption or Design?
President Trump aims to do two things. One is to destroy the liberal world order and ditch the US alliances that constitute it. The second aim is to kill off globalisation and replace it with a nationalist economic model. The major tool to achieve these aims is a unified geo-eco... Read More
I- Capital Conference - David Roche's Pre-April 2 Tariff warning to investors. TO ACCESS THE VIDEO THE PASSWORD IS: icap25
This is the address given by Quantum Strategy - David Roche to 850 delegates at the I-Capital Conference in Phoenix Arizona on March 25th. The topic is the lethality of the Trump 2 Administration's simultaneous attacks on Globalisation, International Alliances and the Liberal W... Read More
Divorce a l'Americain
Divorce a l'Americain The Liberal World Order and NATO are dead ducks. That opens the way for the Trump 2 Administration to hit Europe with very high (remedial/reciprocal) tariffs in April. Trump has no need for Europeans to help him with Ukraine. The EM... Read More
Ukraine: Worse than Minsk
The liberal world order, if not dead, is very ill in bed. What replaces it will not be orderly or come cheap. States, previously part a network of alliances, will go it alone to ensure their own defense and strategic interests. There will be a massive increase in defence... Read More
RTHK The Close.
RTHK The Close: Carolyn Wright speaks with David Roche, President and Global Strategist at Quantum Strategy, and Hugh Chung, Chief Investment Officer at Endowus about the news impacting the global financial markets. Topics include tariffs, AI and India. Read More
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
David Roche- Quantum Strategy - The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters: Trump - Tariffs - and You! Indian Exceptionalism! The BoE and its coming 25 bp contribution to UK economic mediocrity... .....And this weeks data that may matter to markets Read More
Peter Lewis Money Talk
Discussion with Mark Nicholson, Barry Wood and Peter Lewis about: 1. are Tariffs the only answer to China surpluses and everyone else's deficits. 2.What are China's booming exports telling us about future export demand. 3. Is shins really refocusing stimulus on creating consum... Read More
US Sanctions - Russian Oil Tanks
Russia Sanctions & Oil. New US Sanctions are e nough to keep Brent between US$ 80-90 bbl and to heft shipping rates for legitimate tanker fleets. A Trump embargo on Iranian oil shipments could add to pricing pressure., Russia accounts for about 13% of global crude... Read More
Astern!
We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro ... Read More