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Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·25 Aug 2025

Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping Investment Conclusion : Jackson Hole is a pivot in the Fed’s reaction function which now under-emphasises tariff effects on inflation and over-emphasises the weakening labor market. So more cuts than I thought (3 at le…

#US Fed#Jackson Hole#US Federal Reserve#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Shipping#Putin Strategy#Vladimir Putin#President Putin#Central Banks (US Federal Reserve)#US Federal Reserve Independence.#Geopolitical Disruption#Container Shipping#The Putin Trump Summit.#Jackon Hole Monetary Policy Pivot#Trump’s Crusade Against the US Fed#Trump & Putin Read More
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Tariffying!

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·30 Mar 2025

Tariffying! US “remedial” tariffs to be announced on April 2 will raise the US effective tariff rate to above 15% - a level not seen since the Great Depression era. This is above the level needed to cause Tariff-Induced-Stagflation in the US economy. The announcement will co…

#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#Remedial Tariffs#Geopolitics#Geopolitical Disruption#Secular Bear Markets#Bear Markets#Global Geopolitics#Equity Bear Market#Geopolitical Fragmentation#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Protectionism#Tariffs Read More
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DeepSeek – Deeply Seeking the Significance.

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·28 Jan 2025

DeepSeek disrupts Tech creating as many winners (AI users) as losers (the overhyped US Magnificent 7 and Chatbot purveyors). It puts Chinese selected tech companies back on the radar for international investors. But most of all it hefts China’s strategic position in the Greyzone…

#Tariffs#China#Tech Sanction Policy.#Tech Disruption#Geopolitical Disruption Read More
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