Whispers from Implausibility. If you believe in an effective peace deal, then forget oil! The real plate-shift will be China and the EU. If peace breaks out Russia can offer China little – economically speaking. The US won’t. And the EU must. Europe an... Read More
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14 Dec 25
24 Nov 25
Navigator (The Replacement of Oddbins)
#Japanese Equities#Japanese Yen#Asset Bubbles#Debt Bubbles#Ukraine War#Credit Bubbles#Capital Bubbles#JGB (Japanese Government Bond)#Japanese Economy#Ukraine. President Zelensky#A framework for thinking through Bubbles#President Trumps 28 Point Peace Plan#Trump's Serial Betrayalls of Ukraine#Japan-The Sustainability of Sovereign Debt
Navigator. The QS team tells me that “Odd bins” is a bad name because investors don’t want to look for research in a bin & my writings are garbage enough without associating them with a bin. So the new name is “Navigator”. Investment themes: Markets could be... Read More
22 Nov 25
Ukraine: US 28 Point Plan is a Yalta moment for Europe.
#Russia#Ukraine#Russian Energy#Russian Debt#Ukraine Invasion#Ukraine War#Putin Strategy#Vladimir Putin#President Putin#Russian Influence#East Ukraine#Zelensky#Trump Russian Business Deal#President Zelensky#Ukraine Ceasefire#Ukraine Truce#Russia’s Illegal War in Ukraine#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#Ukraine. President Zelensky#Trump & Putin#Russian escalation in Europe#Russia Foreign Exchange Assets#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#Russian Assets#Trump's 28 Point Peace Plan
President Trump's 28-Point Peace Plan. President Trump's 28-Point Peace Plan is the often repeated but now irrefutably defined proof that the US in on the same page as Putin about the causes and resolutions of Russia's war in Ukraine. But this time is different... Read More
21 Nov 25
Ukraine: US 28 Point Plan backing Russian Demands is a Yalta moment for Europe
#Ukraine Invasion#Trump Russian Business Deal#Ukraine Ceasefire#Russia’s Illegal War in Ukraine#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#Ukraine. President Zelensky#Russian escalation in Europe#Europe-Russia the coming conflict.#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#Russian Central Bank Assets Expropriation#US 28 Point Plan..
Ukraine: US 28 Point Plan backing Russian Demands: a Yalta moment for Europe. *Ukraine- US backs Russian demands.* Below is the full 28 point US plan drawn up without consultation with any allies. It is tantamount to a full capitulation of Ukraine and satisfacti... Read More
26 Oct 25
Oddbins
#China Plenum#France#Shipping#China Renminbi#President of France#Ukraine War#China Communist Party#Ukraine Truce#China & Global South#Container Shipping#Ukraine. President Zelensky#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#France-Lecornu#Japan Takaichi Polich Speech#Xi Trump Summit
Investment Conclusion There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. But long/overweight Japanese equities is being put on watch. Investors who cut Yen long positions in Yen may consider re-entering them. The BoJ has no excuse not to lean into Taka... Read More
19 Oct 25
Odd bins
#China Plenum#France#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Shipping#Ukraine War#China Communist Party#Trump - Putin Call#China Tariffs#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#China Trade War#Container Shipping#Ukraine. President Zelensky#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#France-Lecornu#Asset Bubbles Burst-Corrrection or Catastrophe?#CCP China Party Plenum
Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF. Read More
17 Aug 25
The European Cavalry Charge to DC!
#The Putin Trump Summit.#The Alaska Summit#The Meeting of 5 European PMs and Finnish Presdient ALex Stubb with the Trump Admninsitration Monday#Ukraine. President Zelensky
The European Cavalry Charge to DC! Investment Conclusion What’s set happening in Washington on August 18 can have consequences for markets. Zelensky plus the four PMs of Italy, UK, Germany and France, the President of the EU Commission and the President of Finland will ... Read More
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