This Oddbins Some vital investment themes: Shipping - reinforced optimism. Trump "deal" with Xi changes nothing. And other shipping sector events reconfirm the need for massive shipbuilding and port investment in the US and for the US. US Supreme Court - almost all decisio... Read More

Bursting Bubbles – Correction or Catastrophe? Investment Conclusion This paper asks questions about bubbles and sets up a framework to answer them. The questions: are there significant bubbles around? If so, what would make them burst? And if they burst will the result be ... Read More

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam... Read More

Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)... Read More

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF. Read More

Supreme Confusion. Investment Conclusion Supreme Court decisions from now to January will set the scope of this Administration’s executive powers and determine the fate of the equity bull market. Some of the decisions to be made will have societal impacts that will no... Read More

Odd bins. Investment Conclusion No changes in the Wealth Protection Portfolio this week. It appears at the end of this report. Japan: Still sticking to Long Yen but expect things to get worse for Takaichi and the LDP. Takaichi being a lame duck from the o... Read More

Oddbins. Investment Conclusion Japan - The Sanae Takaichi government, at the margin, means more fiscal spending. Therefore the Wealth Preservation Portfolio takes on: • More exposure to Japanese equities. • More shorts on JPG 10yrs. • And a careful watch for any change i... Read More

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in ... Read More

Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy. Investment Conclusion The resilience of the Trump Administration’s economic policies is greater than I thought. There has been success in creating an alternative economic framework driven by the President... Read More