Navigator I am biting the bullet and cutting Japanese equity and yen positions. Keeping the short yen on. The reason is twofold: disastrous budget that will push 10yr Japanese JGB yields above Bund's at 2.7% ; and China putting Japan in the crosshairs to make an ex... Read More
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17 Nov 25
Odd bins
#Renminbi (RMB)#RMB (Renminbi) Currency#Shipping#RMB (Renminbi)#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#Container Shipping#US Supreme Court#Global Shipping INvestment Theme.
Odd bins Investment Conclusion A renminbi based international payment and reserve system will take off within a year causing a leg down in the US$’s role as global reserve currency. Gold, not the RMB, will be the reserve asset of choice. Gold will go to US$6000 per t... Read More
26 Oct 25
Oddbins
#China Plenum#France#Shipping#China Renminbi#President of France#Ukraine War#China Communist Party#Ukraine Truce#China & Global South#Container Shipping#Ukraine. President Zelensky#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#France-Lecornu#Japan Takaichi Polich Speech#Xi Trump Summit
Investment Conclusion There are no changes in the Wealth Preservation Portfolio this week. But long/overweight Japanese equities is being put on watch. Investors who cut Yen long positions in Yen may consider re-entering them. The BoJ has no excuse not to lean into Taka... Read More
22 Oct 25
Global Shipping: US Titan or Titanic?
#Tariffs#Shipping Lanes#Shipping#Trump Tariffs.#US Tariffs#China Tariffs#Container Shipping#US & China Port Tariffs
Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)... Read More
19 Oct 25
Odd bins
#China Plenum#France#China Stimulus#Trump Policy#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Shipping#Ukraine War#China Communist Party#Trump - Putin Call#China Tariffs#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#China Trade War#Container Shipping#Ukraine. President Zelensky#France Sovereign Debt Crisis#Trump Ukraine Rhetoric#France-Lecornu#Asset Bubbles Burst-Corrrection or Catastrophe?#CCP China Party Plenum
Odd bins. Investment Conclusion When the bubble bursts, will it be a correction or a catastrophe? Preview and thoughts next. Increase exposure to safe haven assets (see Wealth Preservation Portfolio (WPP) at the end). AUD and SGD longs are being added to the WPF. Read More
01 Sep 25
Odd bins: The Portfolio to match the Autumn Strategy Video …. & Shipping
Odd bins: The Portfolio to match the Autumn Strategy Video …. & Shipping Investment Conclusion The Autumn Strategy Video looks at upside and downside risks for financial markets. The upside risks from lower Fed rates are more than offset by the threats to F... Read More
25 Aug 25
Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping
#US Fed#Jackson Hole#US Federal Reserve#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#Shipping#Putin Strategy#Vladimir Putin#President Putin#Central Banks (US Federal Reserve)#US Federal Reserve Independence.#Geopolitical Disruption#Container Shipping#The Putin Trump Summit.#Jackon Hole Monetary Policy Pivot#Trump’s Crusade Against the US Fed#Trump & Putin
Odd bins: Jackson Hole, Russia & Shipping Investment Conclusion : Jackson Hole is a pivot in the Fed’s reaction function which now under-emphasises tariff effects on inflation and over-emphasises the weakening labor market. So more cuts than I thought (3 at le... Read More
18 Aug 25
Odd Bins – Cutting long HK Equities – TICS Contradict – Shipping’s Pseudo Boom.
Odd Bins – Cutting long HK Equities – TICS Contradict – Shipping’s Pseudo Boom. Investment Conclusion Hong Kong equities are being cut back. The Hang Seng has performed. It’s a proxy for China where things are getting economically tougher. And excess liquidity, judged... Read More
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