RTHK - The Close: China fiscal stimulus- good money after bad?. The US Presidential Election - political & market outcome. . The Middle East - which war now? Read More

The Mini Podcast on Macro that may matter to markets - US Presidential, China Stimulus, Israel & Iranian assets - the "Big If". Read More

The Silliness of the Fed's JUMBO cut and the hidden damage. Watch on CNBC. Read More

Global Issues with Carolynn Wright on RTHK "The Close": US jobs, China Stimulus, the Middle East War and Ishiba's Japan! Read More

There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt... Read More

The US Swing State Polls & the Crafting of the Israeli Retaliatory Attack on Iran. Read More

A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero, Read More

I got the Iranian attack on Israel wrong. All now depends on Israel's targeting of its escalatory response. If Israel uses its intelligence to decapitate the Iranian regime (and the IRGC), as it did with Hezbollah, then the economic spillover effects (e.g. energy)) will be limit... Read More

A great discussion of China's market ramp and its sustainability with Peter Lewis and Enzio Pfeil- everything from culture to Hayek Read More

The Russian budget points the way to the increasing un-sustainability of the war for Moscow beginning 2025. The war does not matter to markets now. But it would if it ended. The peace dividend would be high. Read More