Macro uncertainty (high) and market volatility (low) have divorced. The piece explains why and when it will end. This will happen in the next twelve months. The catalyst will be conflicts that incur economic cost beyond what markets can ignore. Read More
Reports LibraryShowing All Results
07 Oct 24
Winter of Discontent
#World#US#Trade#Greyzone Warfare#Tariffs#US Election#Trump#Russia#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#Japan#Markets#Moscow#Global Outlook#LDP
There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt... Read More
03 Sep 24
The Significance of the Inconsequential
#World#Trade#Geo-economics#Quantum Economics#Politics#Trump#Kamala Harris#Geopolitics#Draghi#EU Commission#EU Parliament#Populism#Tueringen#Saxony
There are three political things that don’t matter to markets now but will. Read More
28 May 24
Taiwan - Operation Sword...And So To Bed 28.05.
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
12 Feb 24
Grain Prices To Stay Weak - For Now
#Trade#China#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Agriculture#Grain Prices#USDA (United States Department of Agriculture)
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
17 Nov 23
The Economics Of The Grayzone
#EU#Trade#China#Strategy Archive#USD#Capital Flows#International Relations#Reserves#Grayzone Alliances
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Sep 23
The Ghosts Of Past And Future
#Trade#Technology#Politics#Russia#Ukraine#Strategy Archive#Economy#Europe#Inflation#Capital#Defence#Spending#Global Recession#Globally#Democratic Alliance#Alliance of Autocracies
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
18 May 23
Learning To Live In The Gray Zone Copy
#Trade#Cold War#Politics#China#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Inflation#United States#Global Governance
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
18 May 23
Learning To Live In The Gray Zone
#Trade#Cold War#Politics#China#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Inflation#United States#Global Governance
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
Expected more? Our recent reports are for Subscribers only. To see everything, become a Subscriber.Contact Us