We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro ... Read More
Reports LibraryShowing All Results
08 Jan 25
Astern!
#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare
28 Nov 24
Russia Rough Update
Investment Conclusion. Since “Incidentally” was published ( Incidentally 11252024) explaining how things were going to get rough for Russia because of new sanctions on Russia’s financial system and the dark fleet, things have indeed started getting rough for Russia. T... Read More
25 Nov 24
Incidentally
“War is not caused by incidents, but its timing and trajectory often are. " There are three macro “incidents” that may matter to markets. 1. The new US comprehensive sanctions on Russian financial intermediaries may cripple the EU’s ability to pay for its USD... Read More
10 Aug 24
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
#Security#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Water
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More
25 Jun 23
Moscow - Red Sky At Night
#Sanctions#Politics#Russia#Ukraine#Putin#Strategy Archive#NATO#International Relations#Military#Crimean War#Repression#Wagner Group#Lukashenko#Defense Strategies
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
04 Nov 22
Oil To Boil
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
13 Jun 22
The Broken Plate 2 - The Fragments
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
31 May 22
Flagship Putinkind
#Sanctions#Energy#Politics#Recession#Russia#Ukraine#Strategy Archive#Economy#Raw Materials#Exports#War#Capital Controls#Trade.#Grains#Current Account Surplus
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
28 Mar 22
Die Wende - The Shift
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
Expected more? Our recent reports are for Subscribers only. To see everything, become a Subscriber.Contact Us