We're in for a bear market in most asset classes during 2025. This piece integrates the macro and micro reasons for that conviction. The core conviction is that macro-risk is out of synch with market volatility. This will be resolved by market volatility rising as macro ... Read More
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08 Jan 25
Astern!
#US#EU#Greyzone Warfare#Protectionism#Sanctions#Energy#China#Trump#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Volatility#Russia#Ukraine#Yen#US Fed#Middle East#Israel#Iran#ECB#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#China Stimulus#US Labor Market#Escalation#Trump Policy#Syria#French Sovereign Debt#Korea#Hamas#FOMC#US Federal Reserve#US$#Taiwan#S.Korea#Undersea Cable#Undersea Cables#Martial Law#Yoon Suk Yeol#Grayzone Warfare
07 Jan 25
South Korean Crisis - Update
S. Korea Political Crisis - Update. Ultimately the South Korean political crisis will be resolved by constitutional reform and an election leading to a left-wing government. There’ll no further threat of a coup or imposition of martial law. The arrest warrant for impeached Presi... Read More
13 Dec 24
Update: China CEWC & Korea in Limbo & France in a hell of its own making.
Update China: CEWC: most of the statement is reiteration of previous stimulus packages. No new initiatives. No new money - in fact financing of the already announced interventions to stabilise the real estate market was omitted altogether.. Three shifts in langu... Read More
03 Dec 24
Korea Martial Law - Coup in a Tea Cup
Korea Martial Law. I don't own any S. Korean assets or the currency. If you do, stay calm. This coup seems so bonkers - even by Korean standards - that it'll be gone and forgotten in a short time. If the process of impeachment of the president takes longer the KRW mi... Read More
19 Sep 23
What's In A Chip
#Technology#China#Korea#Strategy Archive#Semiconductors#Samsung#Chips#Smartphones#SMIC#TSMC#State Backed Companies
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
23 Feb 21
Too Hot Not To Handle Copy
#Finance#UK#US#China#Korea#Taiwan#Strategy Archive#Australia#Inflation#Investment Strategy#Pandemic#Global Equities#Real Assets#Excessive Demand#Alternative Currencies
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Sep 14
Productivity - Solving The Puzzle
#Germany#Korea#Taiwan#Strategy Archive#Growth#Productivity#Demographics#USA#Great Recession#Labour Supply
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
07 Jan 14
Sol Y Sombre
#China#Japan#Germany#Korea#Strategy Archive#Economy#Manufacturing#United States#Brazil#United Kingdom#Investments#Mexico#Thailand#India#Indonesia#Global Growth#Trade Balance#Capital Goods
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
17 May 13
Upsetting The Apple Cart
#Asia#Politics#China#Korea#Strategy Archive#Education#Military Conflict#Social Media#Global Events#Macro Asset Allocation
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
19 Dec 11
North Korea - Death Of Kim Jong Il Update
#US#China#Japan#Korea#Strategy Archive#Economy#Currencies#Risk Management#Nuclear Weapons#Government Transition#Puppet Regime#Border Security
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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