Tariffying Moment. The US Supreme Court is set to publish, on Friday, January 9, its opinions & and probably its verdict on the use of IEEPA tariffs. N egative for US Treasuries and the US$. No bonanza for EM equities, This report looks at the consequences ... Read More

Odd bins Investment Conclusion A renminbi based international payment and reserve system will take off within a year causing a leg down in the US$’s role as global reserve currency. Gold, not the RMB, will be the reserve asset of choice. Gold will go to US$6000 per t... Read More

NDTV David Roche - 3 Outcomes & Consequences of US Supreme Court Ruling on Trump’s Tariffs Read More

This Oddbins Some vital investment themes: Shipping - reinforced optimism. Trump "deal" with Xi changes nothing. And other shipping sector events reconfirm the need for massive shipbuilding and port investment in the US and for the US. US Supreme Court - almost all decisio... Read More

President Trump’s Asia Trip – Not Trade but the New Cold War Investment Conclusion The trade result of President Trump’s Asian trip is to dial us back to where we were in February of this year as measured by tariffs. Some of the US “wins” need further evidence. For exam... Read More

Xi Vs Trump. What was really gained is very small. A marginal reduction in US (fentanyl) Tariffs with US tariffs on all Chinese imports falling from 55% to 45% - both trade prohibitive levels. Freer access to US technology for China. A one year halt to China’s sanctions on R... Read More

Global Shipping - The US: Titan or Titanic Summary Shipping is like dark matter in the Universe. It keeps things expanding smoothly. It runs hypothetically in the background of world affairs like dark matter and energy in the universe. It prevents (stellar or earthly)... Read More

Oddbins Investment Conclusions. This week marks the publication of “Egonomics” analysing how President Trump’s economic ecosystem may be more stable than thought. But is nevertheless threatened by Supreme Cout ruling and, in the longer term, escalation of the Russian war in ... Read More

Egonomics - The Resilience of Trump's Alternative Economy. Investment Conclusion The resilience of the Trump Administration’s economic policies is greater than I thought. There has been success in creating an alternative economic framework driven by the President... Read More

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