A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero, Read More
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01 Oct 24
Russia - The Rubbish Budget
The Russian budget points the way to the increasing un-sustainability of the war for Moscow beginning 2025. The war does not matter to markets now. But it would if it ended. The peace dividend would be high. Read More
03 Sep 24
The Significance of the Inconsequential
#World#Trade#Geo-economics#Quantum Economics#Politics#Trump#Kamala Harris#Geopolitics#Draghi#EU Commission#EU Parliament#Populism#Tueringen#Saxony
There are three political things that don’t matter to markets now but will. Read More
26 Aug 24
The Middle East- is this the start of the wider war?
#Greyzone Warfare#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Weaponisation#Geopolitics#Middle East#Israel#Iran#Lebanon#Hezbollah#Gaza
Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely. Read More
10 Aug 24
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
#Security#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Water
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More
01 Aug 24
Autumn Sonata
#EU#Geo-economics#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Energy#Oil#China#China Plenum#Monetary Policy#Central Banks#Geopolitics
Economics & Markets after Autumn makes the blooms fade & some icy winter fingers appear. Read More
27 Feb 24
The Tale Of The Schizophrenic Dog
#Politics#China#Geopolitics#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Europe#United States#Globalization#Emerging Markets (India)
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
25 Jan 24
Things I Believe - Without Proof
#China#Trump#Geopolitics#Ukraine#Middle East#Populism#Taiwan#Grayzone Warfare#Strategy Archive#Europe#US Dollar#Democracy#Investments#European Central Bank#Rates#Policies#Confrontation
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
15 Mar 23
Turkey Elections
#Elections#Politics#Central Banks#Geopolitics#Turkey#Strategy Archive#Economy#Inflation#Trade Deficit#Lira#Erdogan (Turkey)
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
20 Jan 23
Step On The Gas
#Cold War#Energy#Oil#China#Geopolitics#Strategy Archive#Leverage#Demand#Cash Flow#Fossil Fuels#Valuation
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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