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Portfolio Implications of Trump II

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·18 Nov 2024

The Second Trump Administration stands up-front and central to any market forecast this year. It is not an add-on to any existing macro picture or cycle. It is hard not to predict the future without looking through a mirror that reflects everything you like or hate about the Ma…

#World#EU#Technology#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Tariffs#Industrial Raw Materials#US Election#Trump#Volatility#Recession#Ukraine#US Fed#Monetary Policy#Draghi#EU Commission#EU Parliament#Geopolitics#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Trump Victory Read More
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When Macro Will Matter

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·22 Oct 2024

Macro uncertainty (high) and market volatility (low) have divorced. The piece explains why and when it will end. This will happen in the next twelve months. The catalyst will be conflicts that incur economic cost beyond what markets can ignore.

#Macro Uncertainty#Market Volatility#Geopolitics#Markets#IDF#Putin#Moscow#Middle East#Israel#Iran#Lebanon#Trump#Kamala Harris#China#Protectionism#Plateshifts#Tectonic Shifts#Trade#Geostrategy#Geo-economics#Greyzone Warfare Read More
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Report

Autumn Sonata

Quantum Strategy ·David Roche ·01 Aug 2024

Economics & Markets after Autumn makes the blooms fade & some icy winter fingers appear.

#EU#Geo-economics#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#China#Energy#Oil#China Plenum#Monetary Policy#Central Banks#Geopolitics Read More
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