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The New Cold War – How China Wins It! (The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide)
The New Cold War – How China Wins It! ( The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide) China may not always have intended to replace the US at the top of the global pecking order: geopolitically, militarily and economically. But it does now. This piece looks …
Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy
Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy The world is a split stage. The comedy of trade is playing on the right. On the left the New Cold War has begun between the Alliance of Autocracies and the fading ranks of the liberal, and not so liberal, demo…
RTHK - The Close
RTHK - The Close. A look forward at the coming year. What are the key factors that could drive markets up or down.
Russia Rough Update
Investment Conclusion. Since “Incidentally” was published ( Incidentally 11252024) explaining how things were going to get rough for Russia because of new sanctions on Russia’s financial system and the dark fleet, things have indeed started getting rough for Russia. T…
Portfolio Implications of Trump II
The Second Trump Administration stands up-front and central to any market forecast this year. It is not an add-on to any existing macro picture or cycle. It is hard not to predict the future without looking through a mirror that reflects everything you like or hate about the Ma…
Middle East: The Inevitable War That'll Matter to Markets
A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero,