The New Cold War – How China Wins It! ( The New Cold War - Part III: An investor’s Guide) China may not always have intended to replace the US at the top of the global pecking order: geopolitically, militarily and economically. But it does now. This piece looks ... Read More
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10 Nov 25
Odd bins
#Cold War#Gold#Gold Reserves#Commodities (Gold)#Ukraine Ceasefire#Ukraine Truce#Russia’s Illegal War in Ukraine#Ukraine Russian Ceasefire#US Supreme Court#Russian escalation in Europe#Russian Central Bank Assets Expropriation#Russian Assets#The New Global Cold War
Odd bins The short term critical market issue is the US Supreme Court - not the end of the Shutdown. We look at potential outcomes. and their market consequences. There are a lot of investment themes here that are matched with idea of how to match them with your money... Read More
09 Nov 25
Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy
Delineating the New Cold War: China’s Boa Constrictor Strategy The world is a split stage. The comedy of trade is playing on the right. On the left the New Cold War has begun between the Alliance of Autocracies and the fading ranks of the liberal, and not so liberal, demo... Read More
04 Nov 25
Odd bins
#Cold War#NuclearThreats#US Federal Reserve#Change in Leadership#Nuclear Weapons#Nuclear deterrence#Nuclear Arsenal#Central Banks (US Federal Reserve)#Boj what to expect#BoJ#US Tariffs#Container Shipping#US Supreme Court#Global Shipping INvestment Theme.
This Oddbins Some vital investment themes: Shipping - reinforced optimism. Trump "deal" with Xi changes nothing. And other shipping sector events reconfirm the need for massive shipbuilding and port investment in the US and for the US. US Supreme Court - almost all decisio... Read More
05 Oct 25
Oddbins
#Cold War#China Plenum#Grayzone Warfare#US-China Cold War#US-China Relations#NATO#US-China Trade War#US-China Trade Relations#China Renminbi#EU Summit#Ukraine War#EU NATO#Russia’s Illegal War in Ukraine#China trade war escalatory dominance#NATO Art 4 & Art 5#US backing for NATO#APEC SUMMIT#Russian Intrusions
Oddbins. Investment Conclusion Japan - The Sanae Takaichi government, at the margin, means more fiscal spending. Therefore the Wealth Preservation Portfolio takes on: • More exposure to Japanese equities. • More shorts on JPG 10yrs. • And a careful watch for any change i... Read More
07 Jan 25
RTHK - The Close
#Trade#Cold War#Tariffs#Trump#Central Banks#Chairman Powell#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Trump Policy
RTHK - The Close. A look forward at the coming year. What are the key factors that could drive markets up or down. Read More
28 Nov 24
Russia Rough Update
Investment Conclusion. Since “Incidentally” was published ( Incidentally 11252024) explaining how things were going to get rough for Russia because of new sanctions on Russia’s financial system and the dark fleet, things have indeed started getting rough for Russia. T... Read More
18 Nov 24
Portfolio Implications of Trump II
#World#EU#Technology#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Tariffs#Industrial Raw Materials#US Election#Trump#Monetary Policy#Geopolitics#Volatility#Recession#Ukraine#US Fed#Draghi#EU Commission#EU Parliament#China Real Estate#China Stimulus#Trump Victory
The Second Trump Administration stands up-front and central to any market forecast this year. It is not an add-on to any existing macro picture or cycle. It is hard not to predict the future without looking through a mirror that reflects everything you like or hate about the Ma... Read More
04 Oct 24
Middle East: The Inevitable War That'll Matter to Markets
A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero, Read More
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