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Tag: Recession

Peter Lewis Money Talk - The Fed removes the markets' drip feed. .....what does it mean for economies and markets

Podcast | David Roche | 19 Dec 24

#Trade #Tariffs #Trump #Recession #Yen #Populism #ECB #Markets #Macro Uncertainty #Market Volatility #FOMC #US Federal Reserve

The Fed acts to reduce the number of interest rate cuts in 2025. Underlying this is that the Fed Funds Rate is already close to the neutral rate and more cuts are not needed given that the economy is motoring and inflation is a bit high. But the knock-on effects on markets arou... Read More

Portfolio Implications of Trump II

Strategy Report | David Roche | 18 Nov 24

The Second Trump Administration stands up-front and central to any market forecast this year. It is not an add-on to any existing macro picture or cycle. It is hard not to predict the future without looking through a mirror that reflects everything you like or hate about the Ma... Read More

Central Banks: Heads Up & Heading Down

Strategy Report | David Roche | 12 Sep 24

#Politics #Trump #Central Banks #Recession #Harris #US Fed #Draghi #Populism #ECB

IN the short term the Fed and the ECB will cut policy rates by 25 bp - no jumbo cuts, Over the easing cycle the ECB will have to cut policy rates more and for longer than the Fed. The EU is entering a period of secular economic decay. The Draghi report speaks not just to the US... Read More

Troubles Weekend

Strategy Report | David Roche | 05 Aug 24

#US #Politics #US Election #Trump #Kamala Harris #Monetary Policy #Volatility #Recession

Recession is the new cloud in the blue sky over markets. The markets now know the colour of fear. Recession is not for now. But fear is. Here's why! Read More

ECB - Slow Trains Still Get To Their Destination

Archive Report | David Roche | 26 Jan 24

#Recession #Strategy Archive #Inflation #European Central Bank #Banking #Economic Policy #Interest Rate Decisions #Christine Lagarde #Eurozone Economy #Unit Profits #Earnings Growth

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

Fed & Inflation

Archive Report | David Roche | 04 Nov 22

#Recession #Strategy Archive #Economy #Inflation #Interest Rates #Federal Reserve #Employment #Jerome Powell

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

Fed - What A Difference A Day Makes

Archive Report | David Roche | 04 Nov 22

#Recession #Strategy Archive #Economy #Inflation #Interest Rates #Federal Reserve #Employment #Jerome Powell

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

EU Gas Supply - Let The Games Begin

Archive Report | David Roche | 26 Jul 22

#Recession #Russia #Strategy Archive #Economy #Inflation #European Union #Gas Supply #NordStream 1 #Gas Prices #EU Natural Gas Storage #Gas Inventories #Winter Supplies #Putin Strategy #EU NATO

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

Italy - Farewell Draghi

Archive Report | David Roche | 20 Jul 22

#EU #Politics #Recession #Strategy Archive #Economy #Italy #Inflation #European Central Bank #Mario Draghi #Italian Central Bank

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

The Recession Trigger And The Bare Back Cowboy

Archive Report | David Roche | 11 Jul 22

#Energy #Politics #Recession #Russia #Strategy Archive #Economy #Europe #United States (G7)

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More

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