There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt... Read More
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01 Oct 24
Russia - The Rubbish Budget
The Russian budget points the way to the increasing un-sustainability of the war for Moscow beginning 2025. The war does not matter to markets now. But it would if it ended. The peace dividend would be high. Read More
10 Aug 24
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
#Security#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Water
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More
27 Feb 24
The Tale Of The Schizophrenic Dog
#Politics#China#Geopolitics#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Europe#United States#Globalization#Emerging Markets (India)
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
12 Feb 24
Grain Prices To Stay Weak - For Now
#Trade#China#Russia#Strategy Archive#Economy#Agriculture#Grain Prices#USDA (United States Department of Agriculture)
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
12 Jan 24
Macro Trilogy
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
27 Oct 23
Dark Clouds
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Oct 23
Hamas And Israel - Market Perimeters
#Finance#Security#Energy#Politics#Russia#Ukraine#Iran#Markets#Strategy Archive#Economy#War#USA#International Relations#Borders
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
03 Oct 23
Nagorno Karabakh - The Potential Spillovers
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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