There are three political things that don’t matter to markets now but will. Read More
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26 Aug 24
The Middle East- is this the start of the wider war?
#Greyzone Warfare#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Weaponisation#Geopolitics#Middle East#Israel#Iran#Lebanon#Hezbollah#Gaza
Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely. Read More
26 Aug 24
US Fed- Jackson Hole- Chairman Powell Speech
US Fed- Chair Powell speech: cuts? Yes but how much & how far" less than you think? Read More
10 Aug 24
Ukraine- Kursk Offensive
#Security#Greyzone Warfare#Cold War#Sanctions#Energy#Industrial Raw Materials#Politics#Geopolitics#Russia#Ukraine#Water
Kursk offensive has potential to be a turning point in this war if Ukraine achieves strategic objectives. If so market effects would be significant. Read More
05 Aug 24
Troubles Weekend
Recession is the new cloud in the blue sky over markets. The markets now know the colour of fear. Recession is not for now. But fear is. Here's why! Read More
02 Aug 24
Autumn Sonata
#Finance#EU#China#US Election#Trump#Yen#Euro#Strategy Archive#Sovereign Debt Crisis#USD#Credibility#Market Predictions#Equity Bear Market#CNH#Growth Gap#2035
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
01 Aug 24
Autumn Sonata
#EU#Geo-economics#Tectonic Shifts#Protectionism#Energy#Oil#China#China Plenum#Monetary Policy#Central Banks#Geopolitics
Economics & Markets after Autumn makes the blooms fade & some icy winter fingers appear. Read More
22 Jul 24
China - the Plenum
The Plenum: Much ado about nothing Well, the third Plenum went according to script. Nothing, nothing and then nothing. Report follows. Read More
21 Jul 24
Joe Biden Withdraws
It is confirmed that Joe Biden has withdrawn his candidacy for the Presidency. He endorses Kamala Harris as his successor. This choice is likely to be endorsed by the Democratic Party. Report follows. Read More
10 Jul 24
Asymmetry QT vs QE
QT is shrinking of central bank balance sheets. The balance sheets of the developed countries’ central banks have shrunk nearly 17% from their 2022 peak. But this is not reducing liquidity in any way that matters to financial markets. There are two reasons for this explored here.... Read More
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