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When Macro Will Matter

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·22 Oct 2024

Macro uncertainty (high) and market volatility (low) have divorced. The piece explains why and when it will end. This will happen in the next twelve months. The catalyst will be conflicts that incur economic cost beyond what markets can ignore.

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Winter of Discontent

Strategy Report ·David Roche ·07 Oct 2024

There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt…

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South Africa The Beginning Of The End

Archive Report ·David Roche ·03 Jun 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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China Real Estate - No Bazooka

Archive Report ·David Roche ·17 May 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Japan Boj Mood Music

Archive Report ·David Roche ·15 Mar 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Japan Boj Mood Music

Archive Report ·David Roche ·15 Mar 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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China Twin Meetings

Archive Report ·David Roche ·06 Mar 2024

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Hamas And Israel - Market Perimeters

Archive Report ·David Roche ·08 Oct 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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Hong Kong - Hitting The Buffers

Archive Report ·David Roche ·20 Apr 2023

This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch.

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