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CNBC- Access Middle East: with Dan Murphy and David Roche: What to expect from Jackson Hole & why tariffs are not of temporary effect.
Like it or not, the US Fed's Jackson Hole Conference is going to be all about Fed independence and the battle with President Trump to preserve it. The anodyne (labor market) theme of the Conference will not defuse that bomb. The issue of whether inflation concerns should outwe…
Peter Lewis Money Talk: Peter, Gary Ng & I discuss the US Vs Chinese Economies.
Peter Lewis Money Talk: What is the state of the US economy compared to China’s? Peter Lewis, Gary Ng and Little old me debate, discover and contrast!
RTHK: The Close - Business & market Discussion with Carolyn Wright, David Roche and Richard Harris
So we know that when President Trump does not like reality he dismisses it and those who make him aware of it. Given the President's doubtful grip on reality we ask the question: How well is the the US economy actually doing? We get behind the volatility of people and data a…
Parsing FOMC Minutes and Tariff Announcements
Parsing FOMC Minutes and Tariff Announcements I parsed the FOMC minutes. I think the Fed will hang tough. Seems only Bowman & Waller want to cut. All the others more worried about inflation than the labour market. I expect inflation to rise sharply & durably in…
Update: the FOMC Minutes - January FOMC
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 28-29, 2025 I thought the most significant statement in the Minutes was this: “the effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy as well as strong consumer demand. Business contacts in a number…
Peter Lewis Money Talk
Discussion with Mark Nicholson, Barry Wood and Peter Lewis about: 1. are Tariffs the only answer to China surpluses and everyone else's deficits. 2.What are China's booming exports telling us about future export demand. 3. Is shins really refocusing stimulus on creating consum…
FOMC - the future confusion.
FOMC - the future confusion. Some FOMC members included estimates of President Trump's mooted Tariff and Immigration policies in their "dot" estimates. One did not. And some didn't say. Some argued that such policies could damage the inflation outlook. Some obviously did no…
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters.
Quantum Strategy - David Roche - The Micro Podcast on Macro! Sign on for Free Research Trial: https://www.QuantumStrategy.org Coming up his week: - The pulling forward of demand in China that will create gaps in demand later: Exports, Consumer Durables, Autos and…
The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters
Quantum Strategy - David Roche: The Micro Podcast on Macro Matters. The 5 things that could go wrong or right next year. The data for this week