There will be a bear market in the next 12 months. The DNA of the bear market is writ large: the inevitable war on Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities; Russia and Ukraine again becoming economically relevant to markets; unrequited market expectations for growt... Read More
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04 Oct 24
Middle East: The Inevitable War That'll Matter to Markets
A war on Iran's nuclear assets is inevitable within a year. That is the geopolitical event that will produce a market meltdown because any attack on nuclear weapons facilities raises the risk of the terminal value of your assets being zero, Read More
02 Oct 24
Middle East- The Mullah’s Mad Gamble
I got the Iranian attack on Israel wrong. All now depends on Israel's targeting of its escalatory response. If Israel uses its intelligence to decapitate the Iranian regime (and the IRGC), as it did with Hezbollah, then the economic spillover effects (e.g. energy)) will be limit... Read More
26 Aug 24
The Middle East- is this the start of the wider war?
#Greyzone Warfare#Geo-economics#Geostrategy#Weaponisation#Geopolitics#Middle East#Israel#Iran#Lebanon#Hezbollah#Gaza
Israeli airstrike against Hezbollah makes the Middle East Armageddon more unlikely. Read More
19 Apr 24
Middle East - Small Attack, Big Message
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
14 Apr 24
Israel & Iran - The Proxy Veil Is Rent
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Jan 24
Houthi Attacks - The Consequences
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
14 Oct 23
The Heart And Mind Of Darkness
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
08 Oct 23
Hamas And Israel - Market Perimeters
#Finance#Security#Energy#Politics#Russia#Ukraine#Iran#Markets#Strategy Archive#Economy#War#USA#International Relations#Borders
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
05 Dec 22
Done Wandering
#EU#Politics#China#Russia#Ukraine#Iran#Strategy Archive#Saudi Arabia#Energy Supply and Demand#US Influence#Zero Covid Policy#Regime Change
This Strategy Report is from the Archive, and is presented in its original format. Tags have been generated by AI. If you notice any inconsistencies, please get in touch. Read More
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